Real Estate Investing in Phoenix, Arizona (85040)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Maricopa County • Population: 33,325 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85040 (Phoenix, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (60/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated poverty: 20.1% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

What’s happening in Phoenix, AZ (85040)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $320,643
Avg Monthly Rent $1,829
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $55,771
% Renters 54.0%

Market Analysis: 85040 Phoenix

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Phoenix's 85040 ZIP stands at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $321K pricing implies.

The 85040 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

On balance, 85040 offers a low basis, the region around Phoenix has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Demographically, 85040 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

The right play in 85040 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Phoenix:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.7× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,829/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85040

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+8.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$86,471/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $247,754 $1,530 4.4% +8.6% $123,877
3BR $335,044 $2,070 4.4% +7.8% $111,681
4BR $376,217 $2,350 4.5% +7.4% $94,054
5BR $432,356 +6.9% $86,471

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$376K$305K$233K$162K$91K$19KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,011$1,752$1,492$1,232$972$712Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85040 Compare?

Metric 85040 Phoenix Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Arizona
Home Value $320,643 $448,314 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.8% 2.8% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,829 $1,672 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.5% 3.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85040? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

54% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85040 (Phoenix, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Maricopa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Active Renter Property Management offers rental property management services in Phoenix, Arizona, including a 6-month tenant guarantee. summary from their website

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Arête Realty and Property Management, LLC offers property management services and real estate expertise in Glendale, Avondale, Chandler, Mesa, Gilbert, Sun City, Paradise Valley, Scottsdale, and Peori summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Arizona Community Management Services offers a comprehensive suite of services for Association leaders, including board training, financial management, and covenants enforcement, with decades of exper summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.5%
Fair
5yr Growth
+2.8%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $320,643
Monthly Rent $1,829
Price-to-Rent 14.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.9%
Cap Rate 4.5%
5-Year IRR 7.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR 0.0% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +9.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +12.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.1%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85040

Population: 33,325

💰 Median Household Income
$55,771
This area
$55,771
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
54.0%
This area
54.0%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.9%
This area
4.9%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
13.1%
This area
13.1%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
29.4 years
This area
29.4 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.1%
This area
6.1%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 40.1%
Other/Mixed 39.8%
Hispanic/Latino 33.4%
Black/African American 17.9%
Asian 2.3%
👶 Under 18
29.7%
This area
29.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
8.0%
This area
8.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
20.1%
This area
20.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85040

C+ Avg School Grade
18 Schools
16.7:1 Avg Class Size
$16,428 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Martin Luther King Early Childhood Center

📚 Pre-K – 03 Elementary
👥
218 Students
👨‍🏫
12.8:1 Class Size
💰
$17,489 Per Student
A Very Good

Percy L Julian School

📚 K – 08 School
👥
249 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$17,489 Per Student
A Very Good

Cesar E Chavez Community School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
417 Students
👨‍🏫
16.7:1 Class Size
💰
$17,489 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Irene Lopez School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
481 Students
👨‍🏫
20.0:1 Class Size
💰
$17,489 Per Student
B Good

Phoenix International Academy

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
185 Students
💰
$36,618 Per Student
B Good

ASU Preparatory Academy - South Phoenix Primary

📚 K – 04 Elementary Charter Limited Data
👥
70 Students
💰
$23,769 Per Student
C+ Average

AIM Higher College Prep Academy

📚 07 – 12 High School Charter Limited Data
👥
41 Students
💰
$31,284 Per Student
C+ Average

South Mountain Preparatory Academy

📚 K – 03 Elementary Charter Limited Data
👥
62 Students
💰
$17,167 Per Student
C+ Average

NFL YET College Prep Academy

📚 07 – 12 High School Charter Limited Data
👥
304 Students
💰
$12,683 Per Student
C+ Average

South Mountain High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,171 Students
👨‍🏫
19.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,520 Per Student
C+ Average

ASU Preparatory Academy - South Phoenix High School

📚 07 – 12 High School Charter Limited Data
👥
231 Students
💰
$13,806 Per Student
C+ Average

ASU Preparatory Academy - South Phoenix Intermediate

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12 Charter Limited Data
👥
99 Students
💰
$16,661 Per Student
C Below Average

George Gervin Prep Academy

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
159 Students
💰
$11,871 Per Student
C Below Average

Pioneer Technology & Arts Academy of Arizona

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
432 Students
💰
$8,598 Per Student
C Below Average

Reyes Maria Ruiz Leadership Academy

📚 Pre-K – 06 School Charter Limited Data
👥
352 Students
💰
$9,305 Per Student
C Below Average

Kaizen Education Foundation dba South Pointe Elementary Scho

📚 K – 06 School Charter Limited Data
👥
289 Students
💰
$12,276 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

South Phoenix Prep and Arts Academy

📚 K – 04 Elementary Charter Limited Data
👥
285 Students
💰
$8,184 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

South Valley Prep and Arts School

📚 05 – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
228 Students
💰
$9,011 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 16,434 Off-Campus Students
D
University of Phoenix-Arizona
101,150 students · 0.9 mi
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Phoenix
0 students · 1.0 mi
C
South Mountain Community College
4,157 students · 1.7 mi
C
GateWay Community College-Central City
477 students · 2.6 mi
C
Aspen University
5,195 students · 2.6 mi
D
Maricopa Community College System Office
0 students · 3.0 mi
C
Rio Salado College
18,631 students · 3.1 mi
C+
GateWay Community College
5,123 students · 3.5 mi

Investor Insight: With 16,434 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Phoenix, AZ?

Rental vacancy in Phoenix, AZ is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

Does house hacking work in Phoenix, AZ?

House hacking in Phoenix, AZ is reasonable to execute. Prices around $321K and rents of $1,829/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

Does Phoenix, AZ make sense for an investment property?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Phoenix, AZ reflects its $321K prices and $1,829/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within AZ.

What is the median home value in Phoenix, AZ?

Expect median prices around $321K in Phoenix, AZ. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been predictable.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Phoenix, AZ?

Rental rates in Phoenix, AZ average $1,829/mo. Tenant demand and $321K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

You know 85040 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 85040 ranks in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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