Real Estate Investing in Phoenix, Arizona (85016)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Maricopa County • Population: 36,857 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85016 (Phoenix, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (34/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 13.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 25.5 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in Phoenix, AZ (85016)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $521,611
Avg Monthly Rent $1,704
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $80,315
% Renters 50.2%

Market Analysis: 85016 Phoenix

ZIP 85016 inside Maricopa County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $522K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 85016 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

Nearby ZIPs in Phoenix have seen price recovery that 85016 has not matched. Maricopa County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Demographically, 85016 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Strategically, 85016 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Phoenix:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 57/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,704/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85016

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
5.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+9.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$192,104/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $245,387 $1,830 5.4% +6.3% $245,387
2BR $384,209 $2,120 4.0% +5.6% $192,104
3BR $595,760 $2,830 3.4% +6.7% $198,587
4BR $881,967 $3,140 2.6% +7.7% $220,492
5BR $1,653,221 +9.8% $330,644

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$596K$499K$403K$306K$210K$114KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,761$1,595$1,430$1,265$1,100$934Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85016 Compare?

Metric 85016 Phoenix Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Arizona
Home Value $521,611 $448,314 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.5% 2.8% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,704 $1,672 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.6% 3.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85016? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

50% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85016 (Phoenix, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Maricopa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Active Renter Property Management offers rental property management services in Phoenix, Arizona, including a 6-month tenant guarantee. summary from their website

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Arête Realty and Property Management, LLC offers property management services and real estate expertise in Glendale, Avondale, Chandler, Mesa, Gilbert, Sun City, Paradise Valley, Scottsdale, and Peori summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Arizona Community Management Services offers a comprehensive suite of services for Association leaders, including board training, financial management, and covenants enforcement, with decades of exper summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.5%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $521,611
Monthly Rent $1,704
Price-to-Rent 25.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.9%
Cap Rate 2.6%
5-Year IRR 5.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +2.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
13.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85016

Population: 36,857

💰 Median Household Income
$80,315
This area
$80,315
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
50.2%
This area
50.2%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.8%
This area
1.8%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
48.6%
This area
48.6%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.8 years
This area
36.8 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
13.8%
This area
13.8%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 71.1%
Other/Mixed 20.2%
Hispanic/Latino 15.4%
Asian 4.5%
Black/African American 4.2%
👶 Under 18
14.9%
This area
14.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.4%
This area
15.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
10.1%
This area
10.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85016

B Avg School Grade
7 Schools
16.2:1 Avg Class Size
$13,945 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Larry C Kennedy School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
326 Students
👨‍🏫
13.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,562 Per Student
B Good

Madison Camelview Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 04 Elementary
👥
565 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$13,461 Per Student
B Good

Creighton Virtual Academy

📚 K – 08 School
👥
33 Students
👨‍🏫
8.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,562 Per Student
B Good

Loma Linda Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
455 Students
👨‍🏫
19.6:1 Class Size
💰
$13,562 Per Student
B Good

Villa Montessori - Phoenix Campus

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
497 Students
💰
$15,489 Per Student
C+ Average

Madison #1 Elementary School

📚 05 – 08 School
👥
886 Students
👨‍🏫
20.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,461 Per Student
C+ Average

Camelback High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,191 Students
👨‍🏫
18.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,520 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

B+ Above Average

Tavan Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 4610 E OSBORN RD, PHOENIX
👥
603 Students
👨‍🏫
14.2:1 Class Size
💰
$12,713 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Phoenix Coding Academy

📚 09 – 12 High School
📍 4445 N CENTRAL AVE, PHOENIX
👥
236 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,520 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Phoenix Educator Preparatory

📚 09 – 12 High School
📍 4525 N CENTRAL AVE, PHOENIX
👥
5 Students
👨‍🏫
1.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,520 Per Student
B Good

Biltmore Preparatory Academy

📚 K – 08 School
📍 4601 N 34TH ST, PHOENIX
👥
532 Students
👨‍🏫
16.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,562 Per Student
B Good

Hopi Elementary School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 5110 E LAFAYETTE BLVD, PHOENIX
👥
643 Students
👨‍🏫
17.2:1 Class Size
💰
$12,713 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 4,937 Off-Campus Students
D
Phoenix Institute of Herbal Medicine & Acupuncture
115 students · 2.4 mi
F
National Paralegal College
438 students · 2.4 mi
C+
Xtylo Beauty College
35 students · 2.6 mi
D
Pathways College
81 students · 3.3 mi
D
Arizona Board of Regents
0 students · 3.3 mi
C
Phoenix College
10,384 students · 3.9 mi
C+
GateWay Community College
5,123 students · 4.6 mi
C
Refrigeration School Inc
1,296 students · 4.8 mi

Investor Insight: With 4,937 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are home prices like in Phoenix, AZ?

The median home value in Phoenix, AZ is roughly $522K. That puts it reasonable relative to the AZ statewide average.

What is it like being a landlord in Phoenix, AZ?

AZ ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Phoenix generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

Is it easy to find good tenants in Phoenix, AZ?

Tenant demand in Phoenix, AZ is solid. The local workforce $1,704/mo rents across most rental classes.

What is the best play in Phoenix, AZ?

For Phoenix, AZ, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

How does Phoenix, AZ stack up for property investment?

Yes - Phoenix, AZ a 3.0/5 investability score. With $522K home prices against $1,704/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

You know 85016 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 85016 ranks in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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