Real Estate Investing in Phoenix, Arizona (85009)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Maricopa County • Population: 52,116 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85009 (Phoenix, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (53/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated poverty: 26.3% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

What’s happening in Phoenix, AZ (85009)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $279,420
Avg Monthly Rent $1,248
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $46,707
% Renters 50.1%

Market Analysis: 85009 Phoenix

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Phoenix's 85009 ZIP reports signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $279K pricing implies.

The investment case in 85009 is healthy only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $279K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

The gap between 85009 and stronger Phoenix ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Resident income in 85009 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

trends toward the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Phoenix:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 63/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,248/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85009

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
5.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+7.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$81,857/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $249,026 $1,530 4.4% +7.8% $124,513
3BR $298,137 $2,070 5.0% +7.3% $99,379
4BR $327,427 $2,350 5.2% +7.1% $81,857

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$339K$274K$209K$144K$79K$14KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,623$1,533$1,444$1,355$1,266$1,176Nov 2022Sep 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85009 Compare?

Metric 85009 Phoenix Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Arizona
Home Value $279,420 $448,314 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 1.8% 2.8% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,248 $1,672 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.5% 3.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85009? Click to expand

50% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85009 (Phoenix, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Maricopa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Active Renter Property Management offers rental property management services in Phoenix, Arizona, including a 6-month tenant guarantee. summary from their website

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Arête Realty and Property Management, LLC offers property management services and real estate expertise in Glendale, Avondale, Chandler, Mesa, Gilbert, Sun City, Paradise Valley, Scottsdale, and Peori summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Arizona Community Management Services offers a comprehensive suite of services for Association leaders, including board training, financial management, and covenants enforcement, with decades of exper summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.8%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $279,420
Monthly Rent $1,248
Price-to-Rent 18.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.4%
Cap Rate 3.5%
5-Year IRR 5.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.4% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +9.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -16.9% ▼
3-Year CAGR -3.6% ▼
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.8%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85009

Population: 52,116

💰 Median Household Income
$46,707
This area
$46,707
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
50.1%
This area
50.1%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
6.9%
This area
6.9%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
31.0 years
This area
31.0 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.7%
This area
5.7%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 49.5%
White 45.1%
Hispanic/Latino 45.1%
Black/African American 4.5%
Asian 0.8%
👶 Under 18
27.0%
This area
27.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
8.5%
This area
8.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
26.3%
This area
26.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85009

B Avg School Grade
15 Schools
18.6:1 Avg Class Size
$15,172 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Magnet Traditional School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
372 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$16,830 Per Student
A Very Good

P T Coe Elementary School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
334 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Alta E Butler School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
524 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Esperanza Elementary School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
362 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Isaac Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
487 Students
👨‍🏫
16.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Isaac Online Prep Academy

📚 K – 08 School
👥
76 Students
👨‍🏫
8.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
B+ Above Average

J B Sutton Elementary School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
535 Students
👨‍🏫
16.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Mitchell Elementary School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
373 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
B+ Above Average
👥
555 Students
👨‍🏫
17.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Moya Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
393 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
B Good

Arthur M Hamilton School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
194 Students
👨‍🏫
19.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,228 Per Student
C+ Average

Carl Hayden High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,066 Students
👨‍🏫
19.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,520 Per Student
C+ Average

Jack L Kuban Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
387 Students
👨‍🏫
29.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,228 Per Student
C+ Average

William R Sullivan Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
536 Students
👨‍🏫
29.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,228 Per Student
C Below Average

Bret Tarver Education Complex

📚 Grade PK Elementary
👥
146 Students
👨‍🏫
29.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,054 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 3,345 Off-Campus Students
C+
Roberto-Venn School of Luthiery
15 students · 2.4 mi
C
Phoenix College
10,384 students · 3.4 mi
D
Arizona Board of Regents
0 students · 3.8 mi
D
Pathways College
81 students · 4.0 mi
C
GateWay Community College-Central City
477 students · 4.2 mi
C+
Grand Canyon University
107,563 students · 4.7 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Phoenix
102 students · 5.5 mi
D
Phoenix Institute of Herbal Medicine & Acupuncture
115 students · 6.4 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,345 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Can owner-occupants cash flow in Phoenix, AZ?

The house hack math a challenging in Phoenix, AZ. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $1,248/mo rents and $279K home values.

What kind of tenants rent in Phoenix, AZ?

Tenant demand in Phoenix, AZ is solid. The local workforce $1,248/mo rents across most rental classes.

Are homes affordable in Phoenix, AZ?

Typical homes in Phoenix, AZ go for around $279K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% even-keeled price movement.

What strategy should investors use in Phoenix, AZ?

In Phoenix, AZ the healthy play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $279K prices and $1,248/mo rents suits that approach.

How landlord-friendly is Phoenix, AZ?

AZ ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Phoenix generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

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How 85009 ranks in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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