Real Estate Investing in Waelder, Texas (78959)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Gonzales County • Population: 1,401 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 78959 (Waelder, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (35/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 22.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -1.1% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Waelder, TX (78959)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $310,652
Avg Monthly Rent $1,584
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $57,610
% Renters 22.2%

Market Analysis: 78959 Waelder

ZIP 78959 in Waelder, TX carries a healthy set of headwinds. Home values near $311K and rents of $1,584/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Rent of $1,584/mo on a $311K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 78959 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Within TX, ZIP 78959 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Gonzales County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and significant enough to shape underwriting.

A solid renter share of 22% in 78959 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

The right play in 78959 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Waelder:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 45/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.4× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-2.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,584/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$379K$352K$326K$299K$273K$246KFeb 2019Nov 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 78959 Compare?

Metric 78959 Waelder Texas
Home Value $310,652 $310,652 $297,000
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,584 $1,584 -
Cap Rate 4.0% 4.0% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78959 (Waelder, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
4.0%
Low
5yr Growth
-1.1%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $310,652
Monthly Rent $1,584
Price-to-Rent 16.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 2.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -2.7% ▼
3-Year CAGR -3.5% ▼
5-Year CAGR -1.1% ▼
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
22.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-1.1%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78959

Population: 1,401

💰 Median Household Income
$57,610
This area
$57,610
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
22.2%
This area
22.2%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
12.5%
This area
12.5%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
48.4 years
This area
48.4 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
22.9%
This area
22.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 51.8%
Other/Mixed 42.7%
Hispanic/Latino 41.7%
Black/African American 4.9%
Asian 0.6%
👶 Under 18
13.4%
This area
13.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.6%
This area
22.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.2%
This area
8.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 78959

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
10.7:1 Avg Class Size
$16,574 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

WAELDER SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12
👥
297 Students
👨‍🏫
10.7:1 Class Size
💰
$16,574 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is Waelder, TX for real estate investors?

Our data puts Waelder, TX at 2.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $311K and rents around $1,584/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

How tight is the rental market in Waelder, TX?

Vacancy in Waelder, TX is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,584/mo.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Waelder, TX?

Waelder, TX median home values land near $311K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,584/mo-per-month rentals.

What strategy should investors use in Waelder, TX?

In Waelder, TX the notable play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $311K prices and $1,584/mo rents suits that approach.

Are rents high in Waelder, TX?

Average rent in Waelder, TX is approximately $1,584/mo per month. Against $311K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

You know 78959 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 78959 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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