Real Estate Investing in McDade, Texas (78650)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Bastrop County • Population: 2,679 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 78650 (McDade, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (38/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 18.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in McDade, TX (78650)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $466,578
Avg Monthly Rent $1,584
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $62,125
% Renters 8.3%

Market Analysis: 78650 McDade

The 78650 ZIP covers a section of McDade that demands careful diligence. Prices near $467K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $467K asset, 78650 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

The gap between 78650 and stronger McDade ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

A durable renter share of 8% in 78650 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

New investors are better served looking at McDade's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 78650. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in McDade:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 55/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,584/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
89 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$538K$460K$382K$304K$226K$148KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 78650 Compare?

Metric 78650 McDade Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Texas
Home Value $466,578 $466,578 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 3.3% 3.3% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,584 $1,584 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.7% 2.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 78650? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78650 (McDade, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.3%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $466,578
Monthly Rent $1,584
Price-to-Rent 24.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.1%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 5.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR -0.6% ▼
5-Year CAGR +3.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
18.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78650

Population: 2,679

💰 Median Household Income
$62,125
This area
$62,125
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
8.3%
This area
8.3%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
5.6%
This area
5.6%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
15.1%
This area
15.1%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.4 years
This area
40.4 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
18.9%
This area
18.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 64.2%
Other/Mixed 34.2%
Hispanic/Latino 31.0%
Black/African American 1.6%
👶 Under 18
29.0%
This area
29.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.7%
This area
17.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.5%
This area
8.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 78650

B+ Avg School Grade
2 Schools
11.3:1 Avg Class Size
$14,611 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

MCDADE H S

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
165 Students
👨‍🏫
9.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,611 Per Student
B+ Above Average

MCDADE EL

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
195 Students
👨‍🏫
12.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,611 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do home values compare in McDade, TX?

Median home price in McDade, TX is near $467K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been reliable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

What monthly rent should investors expect in McDade, TX?

McDade, TX rentals go for roughly $1,584/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $467K acquisition costs.

What real estate strategy is ideal for McDade, TX?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in McDade, TX. The numbers - $467K homes against $1,584/mo rents - support that play.

Does a duplex house hack pencil in McDade, TX?

House hacking in McDade, TX is reasonable to execute. Prices around $467K and rents of $1,584/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

Is it easy to find good tenants in McDade, TX?

McDade, TX offers a consistent renter base at the $1,584/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

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How 78650 ranks in Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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