Real Estate Investing in Elgin, Texas (78621)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Bastrop • Population: 27,860 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 78621 (Elgin, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (57/100)

Mixed — values have been flat. OK for long-horizon buyers, less attractive if you may need to sell soon.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.5% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.0% CAGR).
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 3.1% in the last year.

What’s happening in Elgin, TX (78621)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $292,474
Avg Monthly Rent $1,816
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $92,103
% Renters 20.3%

Market Analysis: 78621 Elgin

The 78621 ZIP covers a section of Elgin that demands careful diligence. Prices near $292K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

On the rental side, the numbers look inviting — $292K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 78621 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Put differently, 78621 offers a low basis, the region around Elgin has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Demographically, 78621 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

New investors are better served looking at Elgin's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 78621. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Elgin:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
10/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.2× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-3.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,816/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 78621

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
6.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+5.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$68,986/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $239,427 $1,760 5.3% +4.6% $119,714
3BR $277,485 $2,240 5.8% +5.1% $92,495
4BR $302,528 $2,600 6.2% +4.6% $75,632
5BR $344,931 +3.3% $68,986

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$399K$340K$281K$221K$162K$103KApr 2006Jun 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,914$1,859$1,804$1,749$1,694$1,639Mar 2024May 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 78621 Compare?

Metric 78621 Elgin Texas
Home Value $292,474 $292,474 $297,000
5-Year CAGR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,816 $1,816 -
Cap Rate 4.8% 4.8% -
💡 Why Invest in 78621? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78621 (Elgin, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.8%
Fair
5yr Growth
+0.0%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $292,474
Monthly Rent $1,816
Price-to-Rent 13.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.5%
Cap Rate 4.8%
5-Year IRR 4.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -3.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR -4.5% ▼
5-Year CAGR +0.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +4.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.5%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+0.0%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78621

Population: 27,860

💰 Median Household Income
$92,103
This area
$92,103
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
20.3%
This area
20.3%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.0%
This area
3.0%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
22.1%
This area
22.1%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
38.2 years
This area
38.2 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.5%
This area
8.5%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 57.5%
Other/Mixed 33.3%
Hispanic/Latino 30.5%
Black/African American 8.9%
Asian 0.3%
👶 Under 18
26.5%
This area
26.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.8%
This area
13.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.7%
This area
8.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 78621

B Avg School Grade
8 Schools
17.0:1 Avg Class Size
$15,159 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

BOOKER T WASHINGTON EL

📚 K – 04 Elementary
👥
763 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,159 Per Student
B+ Above Average

NEIDIG EL

📚 Pre-K – 04 Elementary
👥
664 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,159 Per Student
B+ Above Average

ELGIN MIDDLE

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
805 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,159 Per Student
B Good

ELGIN INT

📚 05 – 06 School
👥
773 Students
👨‍🏫
19.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,159 Per Student
B Good

ELGIN EL

📚 Pre-K – 04 Elementary
👥
885 Students
👨‍🏫
18.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,159 Per Student
B Good

PHOENIX H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
45 Students
👨‍🏫
10.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,159 Per Student
C+ Average

ELGIN H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,779 Students
👨‍🏫
19.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,159 Per Student
C Below Average

BASTROP COUNTY JUVENILE BOOT CAMP

📚 Grade 10 High School Limited Data
👥
1 Students
💰
$15,159 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do home values compare in Elgin, TX?

Typical homes in Elgin, TX go for around $292K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% stable price movement.

Is real estate in Elgin, TX a good investment right now?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Elgin, TX reflects its $292K prices and $1,816/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within TX.

How deep is the rental pool in Elgin, TX?

The renter base in Elgin, TX is reasonable for the $1,816/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields steady tenants.

Is Elgin, TX suited for a house hack?

The house hack math a challenging in Elgin, TX. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $1,816/mo rents and $292K home values.

Is TX a landlord-friendly state?

Elgin, TX operates under TX law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect steady treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

You know 78621 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 78621 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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