Real Estate Investing in Paige, Texas (78659)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Bastrop County • Population: 2,898 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 78659 (Paige, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (45/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 18.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Paige, TX (78659)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $456,400
Avg Monthly Rent $1,584
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $82,635
% Renters 7.7%

Market Analysis: 78659 Paige

ZIP 78659 inside Bastrop County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $456K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $456K asset, 78659 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

On the rental side, 78659 offers a low basis, the region around Paige has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

The demographic picture in 78659 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Paige averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

seems to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Paige:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 56/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,584/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
89 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$539K$463K$387K$312K$236K$160KMay 2006Jun 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 78659 Compare?

Metric 78659 Paige Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Texas
Home Value $456,400 $456,400 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 2.8% 2.8% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,584 $1,584 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.7% 2.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 78659? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78659 (Paige, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.8%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $456,400
Monthly Rent $1,584
Price-to-Rent 24.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.2%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 5.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR -1.2% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
18.0%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78659

Population: 2,898

💰 Median Household Income
$82,635
This area
$82,635
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
7.7%
This area
7.7%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.3%
This area
2.3%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
31.6%
This area
31.6%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
48.4 years
This area
48.4 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
18.0%
This area
18.0%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 79.7%
Other/Mixed 16.3%
Hispanic/Latino 14.1%
Asian 3.3%
Black/African American 0.8%
👶 Under 18
23.3%
This area
23.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.5%
This area
17.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the investability score for Paige, TX?

Yes - Paige, TX a 3.0/5 investability score. With $456K home prices against $1,584/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

Are rents high in Paige, TX?

Paige, TX rentals go for roughly $1,584/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $456K acquisition costs.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Paige, TX?

Paige, TX vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

How should investors approach Paige, TX?

Most investors in Paige, TX run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

How viable is house hacking in Paige, TX?

House hacking in Paige, TX is a challenging. With home values around $456K and rents at $1,584/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

You know 78659 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 78659 ranks in Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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