Real Estate Investing in Breckenridge, Texas (76429)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Stephens County • Population: 157 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 76429 (Breckenridge, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (15/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 45.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 43.2 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.
  • Lower household income: $2,499 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Breckenridge, TX (76429)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

0.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $467,011
Avg Monthly Rent $900
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $2,499
% Renters 0.0%

Market Analysis: 76429 Breckenridge

Investors eyeing 76429 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $467K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

Looking more closely, the numbers look inviting — $467K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 76429 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Within TX, ZIP 76429 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Stephens County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and notable enough to shape underwriting.

Employment concentration in 76429 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. robust returns are possible in 76429, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Breckenridge:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 55/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 186.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $900/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$476K$462K$448K$434K$420K$405KFeb 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 76429 Compare?

Metric 76429 Breckenridge Texas
Home Value $467,011 $305,588 $297,000
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $900 $905 -
Cap Rate 1.5% 3.2% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 76429 (Breckenridge, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.5%
Low

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $467,011
Monthly Rent $900
Price-to-Rent 43.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.3%
Cap Rate 1.5%
5-Year IRR 5.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
45.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
N/A
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 76429

Population: 157

💰 Median Household Income
$2,499
This area
$2,499
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
30.2%
This area
30.2%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
68.5 years
This area
68.5 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
45.9%
This area
45.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 100.0%
👶 Under 18
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
61.2%
This area
61.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Breckenridge, TX?

The landlord environment in Breckenridge, TX is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

How deep is the rental pool in Breckenridge, TX?

Breckenridge, TX draws a measured base of working renters. Demand at the $900/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

Where do home prices stand in Breckenridge, TX?

Expect median prices around $467K in Breckenridge, TX. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been reliable.

Is house hacking profitable in Breckenridge, TX?

The a challenging house-hack environment in Breckenridge, TX reflects the rent-to-price spread. Expect meaningful PITI offset at market rents.

What approach is best for Breckenridge, TX real estate?

Breckenridge, TX investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($467K prices, $900/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

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