Real Estate Investing in Graford, Texas (76449)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Palo Pinto County • Population: 2,157 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 76449 (Graford, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (41/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 62.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 61.6 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Graford, TX (76449)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $645,310
Avg Monthly Rent $873
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $73,824
% Renters 13.4%

Market Analysis: 76449 Graford

ZIP 76449 in Graford, TX carries a notable set of headwinds. Home values near $645K and rents of $873/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

For an experienced owner, 76449 can be a a solid fit for hunting ground — but the discount at $645K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

ZIP 76449's metrics run below Palo Pinto County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

A substantial renter share of 13% in 76449 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Strategically, 76449 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Graford:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 46/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 8.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $873/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Mineral Wells, TX Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.3%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Mineral Wells, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 76449

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
1.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+9.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$188,980/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $377,960 $970 1.8% +8.4% $188,980
3BR $575,594 $1,270 1.6% +7.5% $191,865
4BR $1,013,326 $1,640 1.2% +9.6% $253,332

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$681K$591K$501K$411K$322K$232KMay 2009Dec 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 76449 Compare?

Metric 76449 Graford Mineral Wells, TX Texas
Home Value $645,310 $645,310 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 4.9% 4.9% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $873 $873 N/A -
Cap Rate 1.1% 1.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 76449? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 76449 (Graford, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
1.1%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.9%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Mineral Wells, TX metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
66%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $645,310
Monthly Rent $873
Price-to-Rent 61.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 1.6%
Cap Rate 1.1%
5-Year IRR 5.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
62.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 76449

Population: 2,157

💰 Median Household Income
$73,824
This area
$73,824
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.4%
This area
13.4%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
25.6%
This area
25.6%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
57.2 years
This area
57.2 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
62.9%
This area
62.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.4%
Other/Mixed 3.6%
Hispanic/Latino 1.6%
👶 Under 18
15.5%
This area
15.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
34.0%
This area
34.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.3%
This area
7.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 76449

A+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
8.8:1 Avg Class Size
$36,698 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

GRAFORD SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12
👥
330 Students
👨‍🏫
8.8:1 Class Size
💰
$36,698 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home value in Graford, TX?

Typical homes in Graford, TX go for around $645K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% consistent price movement.

Which investment style suits Graford, TX?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Graford, TX best. The market produces measured results for that approach at the $645K price point.

How high is vacancy risk in Graford, TX?

Graford, TX carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect reliable absorption at market rents of $873/mo.

Is house hacking profitable in Graford, TX?

House hacking works a challenging in Graford, TX. Rents of $873/mo against $645K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

How strict are landlord regulations in Graford, TX?

Graford, TX operates under TX law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect consistent treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

You know 76449 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 76449 ranks in Mineral Wells, TX

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