Real Estate Investing in Aubrey, Texas (76227)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Denton County • Population: 55,437 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 76227 (Aubrey, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (67/100)

Mixed — values have been flat. OK for long-horizon buyers, less attractive if you may need to sell soon.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.4% CAGR).
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 4.9% in the last year.

What’s happening in Aubrey, TX (76227)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $356,784
Avg Monthly Rent $1,856
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $106,113
% Renters 23.0%

Market Analysis: 76227 Aubrey

On the rental side, ZIP 76227 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $357K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 76227 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

In the broader TX picture, 76227 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Who lives in 76227 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. resilient returns are possible in 76227, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Aubrey:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 73/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.4× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-4.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,856/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
63 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 76227

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
7.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+6.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$99,419/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $330,463 $2,470 5.4% +6.1% $165,231
3BR $327,227 $3,110 6.8% +5.4% $109,076
4BR $397,675 $3,950 7.2% +5.8% $99,419
5BR $514,547 +6.7% $102,909

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$456K$390K$324K$259K$193K$127KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,981$1,834$1,687$1,539$1,392$1,245Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 76227 Compare?

Metric 76227 Aubrey Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Texas
Home Value $356,784 $356,784 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 1.4% 1.4% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,856 $1,856 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.1% 4.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 76227? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 76227 (Aubrey, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.1%
Fair
5yr Growth
+1.4%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $356,784
Monthly Rent $1,856
Price-to-Rent 16.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.2%
Cap Rate 4.1%
5-Year IRR 5.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -4.9% ▼
3-Year CAGR -3.7% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -0.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.6% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.0% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 76227

Population: 55,437

💰 Median Household Income
$106,113
This area
$106,113
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
23.0%
This area
23.0%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
43.0%
This area
43.0%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.5 years
This area
35.5 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 68.0%
Black/African American 15.9%
Other/Mixed 13.9%
Hispanic/Latino 9.2%
Asian 2.3%
👶 Under 18
28.2%
This area
28.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
9.9%
This area
9.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.2%
This area
5.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 76227

A Avg School Grade
16 Schools
14.8:1 Avg Class Size
$18,227 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

CROSS OAKS EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
642 Students
👨‍🏫
11.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
A+ Excellent

RODRIGUEZ MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
635 Students
👨‍🏫
11.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
A+ Excellent

NAVO MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
735 Students
👨‍🏫
12.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
A+ Excellent

PAT HAGAN CHEEK MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
739 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
A+ Excellent

PROVIDENCE EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
691 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
A+ Excellent

SAVANNAH EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
742 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
A Very Good

DAN CHRISTIE EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
762 Students
👨‍🏫
16.8:1 Class Size
💰
$20,409 Per Student
A Very Good

HL BROCKETT

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
564 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,858 Per Student
A Very Good

PALOMA CREEK EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
687 Students
👨‍🏫
15.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
A Very Good

SANDBROCK RANCH EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
785 Students
👨‍🏫
16.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
B+ Above Average

UNION PARK EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
823 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
B+ Above Average

JAMES A MONACO

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
667 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,858 Per Student
B+ Above Average

AUBREY MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
888 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,858 Per Student
B+ Above Average

JACKIE FULLER EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
842 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,858 Per Student
B Good

AUBREY H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,039 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,858 Per Student
B Good

RAY BRASWELL H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,758 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,694 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby 2,375 Off-Campus Students
C+
Texas Woman's University
15,664 students · 8.6 mi
C
Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Denton
198 students · 9.1 mi
C+
University of North Texas
47,507 students · 10.1 mi
C+
Allgood Beauty Institute
20 students · 13.8 mi

Investor Insight: With 2,375 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Aubrey, TX?

The median home value in Aubrey, TX is roughly $357K. That puts it reasonable relative to the TX statewide average.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Aubrey, TX?

The landlord environment in Aubrey, TX is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

What is the renter demographic in Aubrey, TX?

The tenant pool in Aubrey, TX is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $1,856/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

What strategy should investors use in Aubrey, TX?

For Aubrey, TX, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

Is Aubrey, TX a good place for real estate investing?

Aubrey, TX scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $357K and rents near $1,856/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

You know 76227 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 76227 ranks in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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