Real Estate Investing in Coldwater, Ohio (45828)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Mercer County • Population: 6,343 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 45828 (Coldwater, OH)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 28.3 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Coldwater, OH (45828)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $296,904
Avg Monthly Rent $873
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $76,853
% Renters 18.6%

Market Analysis: 45828 Coldwater

This part of Mercer County is not an easy win. The 45828 ZIP sits at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 45828 shows the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Within OH, ZIP 45828 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Mercer County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and solid enough to shape underwriting.

Employment concentration in 45828 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

New investors are better served looking at Coldwater's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 45828. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Coldwater:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+8.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $873/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Celina, OH Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
11.1%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Celina, OH metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 45828

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+8.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$76,889/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $216,166 $970 3.2% +8.1% $108,083
3BR $282,794 $1,270 3.2% +7.5% $94,265
4BR $307,558 $1,290 3.0% +7.1% $76,889

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$311K$270K$229K$188K$147K$106KMar 2009Nov 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 45828 Compare?

Metric 45828 Coldwater Celina, OH Ohio
Home Value $296,904 $296,904 N/A $237,530
5-Year CAGR 6.5% 6.5% N/A 7.4%
Avg Rent $873 $873 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.3% 2.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 45828? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 45828 (Coldwater, OH). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.5%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Celina, OH metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $296,904
Monthly Rent $873
Price-to-Rent 28.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.5%
Cap Rate 2.3%
5-Year IRR 8.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +8.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
0.0%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.5%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 45828

Population: 6,343

💰 Median Household Income
$76,853
This area
$76,853
State
$68,496
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
18.6%
This area
18.6%
State
25.8%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.4%
This area
1.4%
State
-9.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
24.0%
This area
24.0%
State
8.4%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.5 years
This area
35.5 years
State
19.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
11.1%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 98.3%
Other/Mixed 0.7%
Asian 0.5%
Black/African American 0.4%
👶 Under 18
32.0%
This area
32.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.2%
This area
14.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.5%
This area
2.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 45828

B Avg School Grade
3 Schools
17.1:1 Avg Class Size
$13,506 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Coldwater High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
384 Students
👨‍🏫
16.7:1 Class Size
💰
$13,506 Per Student
B Good

Coldwater Middle School

📚 05 – 08 School
👥
430 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,506 Per Student
B Good

Coldwater Elementary School

📚 K – 04 Elementary
👥
630 Students
👨‍🏫
18.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,506 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 223 Off-Campus Students
C+
Wright State University-Lake Campus
1,398 students · 9.7 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What price range are homes in Coldwater, OH?

The median home value in Coldwater, OH is roughly $297K. That puts it reasonable relative to the OH statewide average.

How much do tenants pay in Coldwater, OH?

Expect rents around $873/mo per month in Coldwater, OH. With home values at $297K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

What kind of tenants rent in Coldwater, OH?

Coldwater, OH offers a stable renter base at the $873/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

How strict are landlord regulations in Coldwater, OH?

Rental owners in Coldwater, OH deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

How viable is house hacking in Coldwater, OH?

The house hack math a challenging in Coldwater, OH. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $873/mo rents and $297K home values.

You know 45828 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 45828 ranks in Celina, OH

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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