Real Estate Investing in Clay, Kentucky (42404)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Webster County • Population: 2,268 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 42404 (Clay, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 15.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Clay, KY (42404)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $139,794
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $53,000
% Renters 18.5%

Market Analysis: 42404 Clay

ZIP 42404 inside Webster County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $140K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

The investment case in 42404 is sturdy only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $140K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

The gap between 42404 and stronger Clay ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

A healthy renter share of 19% in 42404 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

leans the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Clay:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 68/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 42404

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
10.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+7.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$30,590/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $61,179 $870 10.2% +5.0% $30,590
3BR $136,747 $1,110 5.8% +7.2% $45,582

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$150K$131K$112K$93K$74K$54KApr 2009Dec 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 42404 Compare?

Metric 42404 Clay Kentucky
Home Value $139,794 $139,794 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 4.8% 4.8% 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $783 -
Cap Rate 4.4% 4.4% -
💡 Why Invest in 42404? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 42404 (Clay, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
+4.8%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $139,794
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 14.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.7%
Cap Rate 4.4%
5-Year IRR 9.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
15.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 42404

Population: 2,268

💰 Median Household Income
$53,000
This area
$53,000
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
18.5%
This area
18.5%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
11.6%
This area
11.6%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.6 years
This area
35.6 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
15.3%
This area
15.3%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 95.9%
Other/Mixed 3.9%
Hispanic/Latino 2.0%
Black/African American 0.3%
👶 Under 18
26.1%
This area
26.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.5%
This area
17.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
18.4%
This area
18.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 42404

B Avg School Grade
1 Schools
15.6:1 Avg Class Size
$12,904 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Clay Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
201 Students
👨‍🏫
15.6:1 Class Size
💰
$12,904 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How expensive is real estate in Clay, KY?

Typical homes in Clay, KY go for around $140K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% reliable price movement.

What is the typical rental rate in Clay, KY?

Clay, KY rentals go for roughly $783/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $140K acquisition costs.

How deep is the rental pool in Clay, KY?

Tenant quality in Clay, KY ranks as solid. Landlords generally report reliable occupancy at market rents of $783/mo.

Is Clay, KY landlord-friendly?

Clay, KY operates under KY law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect even-keeled treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

Can I live-in-and-rent in Clay, KY?

House hacking works a challenging in Clay, KY. Rents of $783/mo against $140K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

You know 42404 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 42404 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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