Real Estate Investing in Providence, Kentucky (42450)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Webster County • Population: 3,589 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 42450 (Providence, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (75/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 19.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Providence, KY (42450)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $105,544
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $52,804
% Renters 29.9%

Market Analysis: 42450 Providence

This part of Webster County is not an easy win. The 42450 ZIP reports softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $106K asset, 42450 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Regionally, 42450 sits on the difficult end of the KY spectrum. The an appealing option for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Resident income in 42450 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

The right play in 42450 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Providence:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 75/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Madisonville, KY Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
11.1%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Madisonville, KY metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$120K$104K$88K$71K$55K$38KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 42450 Compare?

Metric 42450 Providence Madisonville, KY Kentucky
Home Value $105,544 $105,544 N/A $225,788
5-Year CAGR 6.3% 6.3% N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $783 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.8% 5.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 42450? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 42450 (Providence, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.8%
Fair
5yr Growth
+6.3%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Madisonville, KY metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
3/3
80%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $105,544
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 11.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.9%
Cap Rate 5.8%
5-Year IRR 12.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
19.1%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.3%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 42450

Population: 3,589

💰 Median Household Income
$52,804
This area
$52,804
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
29.9%
This area
29.9%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
14.5%
This area
14.5%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.2 years
This area
46.2 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
19.1%
This area
19.1%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 87.0%
Black/African American 10.8%
Other/Mixed 2.2%
Hispanic/Latino 2.1%
👶 Under 18
15.8%
This area
15.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.9%
This area
19.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
12.8%
This area
12.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 42450

B Avg School Grade
1 Schools
17.8:1 Avg Class Size
$12,904 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Providence Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
285 Students
👨‍🏫
17.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,904 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 2,188 Off-Campus Students
C+
Madisonville Community College
3,535 students · 14.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 2,188 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What do rentals go for in Providence, KY?

Expect rents around $783/mo per month in Providence, KY. With home values at $106K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Providence, KY?

Rental owners in Providence, KY deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

Is Providence, KY a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Providence, KY reflects its $106K prices and $783/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within KY.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Providence, KY?

Vacancy risk in Providence, KY is elevated. That supports predictable cash flow for typical rental holds.

What does house hacking look like in Providence, KY?

Providence, KY offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $783/mo rent level.

You know 42450 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 42450 ranks in Madisonville, KY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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