Real Estate Investing in Bardstown, Kentucky (40107)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Nelson County • Population: 1,981 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40107 (Bardstown, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (66/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.7% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Bardstown, KY (40107)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $252,598
Avg Monthly Rent $882
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $59,942
% Renters 17.6%

Market Analysis: 40107 Bardstown

The 40107 ZIP covers a section of Bardstown that demands careful diligence. Prices near $253K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

Rent of $882/mo on a $253K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 40107 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

ZIP 40107's metrics run below Nelson County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Looking more closely, 1,981 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. impressive returns are possible in 40107, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Bardstown:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 61/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $882/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Bardstown, KY Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Bardstown, KY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 40107

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
3.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+7.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$93,280/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $192,856 $980 3.7% +5.7% $96,428
3BR $297,187 $1,310 3.2% +7.5% $99,062
4BR $373,121 $1,640 3.2% +7.4% $93,280

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$264K$237K$211K$184K$157K$130KFeb 2018May 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40107 Compare?

Metric 40107 Bardstown Bardstown, KY Kentucky
Home Value $252,598 $259,930 N/A $225,788
5-Year CAGR 4.5% 5.4% N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $882 $963 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.7% 2.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 40107? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40107 (Bardstown, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.5%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Bardstown, KY metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
53%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $252,598
Monthly Rent $882
Price-to-Rent 23.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.2%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 7.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.7%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40107

Population: 1,981

💰 Median Household Income
$59,942
This area
$59,942
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.6%
This area
17.6%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.0%
This area
1.0%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
18.3%
This area
18.3%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
48.4 years
This area
48.4 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.7%
This area
9.7%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 99.2%
Other/Mixed 0.8%
Hispanic/Latino 0.4%
👶 Under 18
17.8%
This area
17.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.1%
This area
17.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
1.4%
This area
1.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 40107

B+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
13.8:1 Avg Class Size
$13,437 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Boston School

📚 K – 08 School
👥
346 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,437 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 4,001 Off-Campus Students
D
Empire Beauty School-Elizabethtown
158 students · 14.1 mi
C+
Elizabethtown Community and Technical College
6,204 students · 14.2 mi

Investor Insight: With 4,001 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home value in Bardstown, KY?

Typical homes in Bardstown, KY go for around $253K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% measured price movement.

Is house hacking profitable in Bardstown, KY?

House hacking works a challenging in Bardstown, KY. Rents of $882/mo against $253K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

How strict are landlord regulations in Bardstown, KY?

Bardstown, KY operates under KY law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect measured treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

How tight is the rental market in Bardstown, KY?

Vacancy risk in Bardstown, KY is elevated. That supports even-keeled cash flow for typical rental holds.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Bardstown, KY?

Rental rates in Bardstown, KY average $882/mo. Tenant demand and $253K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

You know 40107 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40107 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 40107 ranks in Bardstown, KY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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