Real Estate Investing in Coxs Creek, Kentucky (40013)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Nelson County • Population: 6,830 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40013 (Coxs Creek, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 25.3 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Coxs Creek, KY (40013)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $321,838
Avg Monthly Rent $1,062
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $93,214
% Renters 4.9%

Market Analysis: 40013 Coxs Creek

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Coxs Creek's 40013 ZIP sits at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $322K pricing implies.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $322K asset, 40013 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

ZIP 40013's metrics run below Nelson County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The 40013 ZIP's population of 6,830 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that clocks in at the need for careful underwriting.

The 40013 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Coxs Creek:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 72/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+8.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,062/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Bardstown, KY Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Bardstown, KY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 40013

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+7.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$100,345/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $247,782 $1,180 3.4% +6.6% $123,891
3BR $301,036 $1,580 3.8% +7.1% $100,345
4BR $405,121 $1,950 3.5% +7.1% $101,280

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$336K$295K$253K$212K$170K$129KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40013 Compare?

Metric 40013 Coxs Creek Bardstown, KY Kentucky
Home Value $321,838 $321,838 N/A $225,788
5-Year CAGR 5.7% 5.7% N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $1,062 $1,062 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.6% 2.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 40013? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40013 (Coxs Creek, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.7%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Bardstown, KY metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
53%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $321,838
Monthly Rent $1,062
Price-to-Rent 25.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.0%
Cap Rate 2.6%
5-Year IRR 8.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +8.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.3%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40013

Population: 6,830

💰 Median Household Income
$93,214
This area
$93,214
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
4.9%
This area
4.9%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.9%
This area
1.9%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
25.3%
This area
25.3%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.3 years
This area
37.3 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 95.1%
Other/Mixed 3.7%
Hispanic/Latino 2.1%
Black/African American 1.1%
👶 Under 18
26.3%
This area
26.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.2%
This area
13.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.7%
This area
3.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 40013

B Avg School Grade
1 Schools
15.9:1 Avg Class Size
$13,437 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Coxs Creek Elementary School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
478 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$13,437 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
D
American College of Barbering
75 students · 14.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the typical vacancy rate in Coxs Creek, KY?

Occupancy in Coxs Creek, KY runs consistent with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,062/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Does house hacking work in Coxs Creek, KY?

House hacking in Coxs Creek, KY is reasonable to execute. Prices around $322K and rents of $1,062/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

Is Coxs Creek, KY a smart market for rental property?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Coxs Creek, KY ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $322K and rents of $1,062/mo drive the underlying numbers.

Are homes affordable in Coxs Creek, KY?

Coxs Creek, KY home values average about $322K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $1,062/mo in monthly income.

How much rent can I charge in Coxs Creek, KY?

Coxs Creek, KY rentals go for roughly $1,062/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $322K acquisition costs.

You know 40013 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40013 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 40013 ranks in Bardstown, KY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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