Real Estate Investing in New Hope, Kentucky (40052)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Nelson County • Population: 646 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40052 (New Hope, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (58/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 10.4% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in New Hope, KY (40052)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $242,796
Avg Monthly Rent $873
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $52,850
% Renters 11.6%

Market Analysis: 40052 New Hope

The 40052 ZIP in New Hope, KY is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $243K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $243K asset, 40052 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

The gap between 40052 and stronger New Hope ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Employment concentration in 40052 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Strategy in 40052 is an operator game, not a passive one. In practical terms, entry prices of $243K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in New Hope:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 60/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $873/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Bardstown, KY Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Bardstown, KY metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$252K$227K$202K$176K$151K$126KFeb 2018May 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40052 Compare?

Metric 40052 New Hope Bardstown, KY Kentucky
Home Value $242,796 $242,796 N/A $225,788
5-Year CAGR 5.6% 5.6% N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $873 $873 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.8% 2.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 40052? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40052 (New Hope, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.6%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Bardstown, KY metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
53%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $242,796
Monthly Rent $873
Price-to-Rent 23.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.3%
Cap Rate 2.8%
5-Year IRR 8.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
10.4%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.6%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40052

Population: 646

💰 Median Household Income
$52,850
This area
$52,850
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
11.6%
This area
11.6%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
5.5%
This area
5.5%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
9.7%
This area
9.7%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
30.9 years
This area
30.9 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
10.4%
This area
10.4%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 100.0%
👶 Under 18
33.2%
This area
33.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
9.8%
This area
9.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.0%
This area
6.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How much rent can I charge in New Hope, KY?

New Hope, KY rentals go for roughly $873/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $243K acquisition costs.

What is it like being a landlord in New Hope, KY?

KY ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. New Hope generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

What investment strategy works best in New Hope, KY?

Most investors in New Hope, KY run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

How viable is house hacking in New Hope, KY?

The house hack math a challenging in New Hope, KY. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $873/mo rents and $243K home values.

How strong is New Hope, KY for real estate investors?

New Hope, KY scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $243K and rents near $873/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

You know 40052 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 40052 ranks in Bardstown, KY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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