Real Estate Investing in Natchez, Mississippi (39120)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Adams County • Population: 29,212 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 39120 (Natchez, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (46/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 21.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -2.3% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • Elevated poverty: 20.7% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Lower household income: $38,255 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Natchez, MS (39120)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $122,127
Avg Monthly Rent $765
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $38,255
% Renters 34.8%

Market Analysis: 39120 Natchez

Investors eyeing 39120 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $122K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

On the rental side, the numbers look inviting — $122K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 39120 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Regionally, 39120 sits on the difficult end of the MS spectrum. The an appealing option for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Resident income in 39120 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

The 39120 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Natchez:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 54/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
0/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.2× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $765/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Natchez, MS-LA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
4.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Natchez, MS-LA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 39120

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
5.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+4.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$53,819/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $161,457 $1,120 5.0% +3.1% $53,819
4BR $260,963 $1,120 3.1% +4.5% $65,241

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$169K$153K$138K$122K$107K$91KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 39120 Compare?

Metric 39120 Natchez Natchez, MS-LA Mississippi
Home Value $122,127 $122,127 N/A $186,446
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 4.0%
Avg Rent $765 $765 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.9% 4.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 39120? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 39120 (Natchez, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.9%
Fair
5yr Growth
-2.3%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $122,127
Monthly Rent $765
Price-to-Rent 13.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.5%
Cap Rate 4.9%
5-Year IRR 2.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR -2.6% ▼
5-Year CAGR -2.3% ▼
10-Year CAGR +0.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
21.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-2.3%
Declining
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 39120

Population: 29,212

💰 Median Household Income
$38,255
This area
$38,255
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
34.8%
This area
34.8%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.1%
This area
3.1%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
20.6%
This area
20.6%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
42.1 years
This area
42.1 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
21.5%
This area
21.5%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Black/African American 53.6%
White 38.3%
Other/Mixed 7.2%
Hispanic/Latino 5.1%
Asian 0.9%
👶 Under 18
21.6%
This area
21.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
20.6%
This area
20.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
20.7%
This area
20.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 39120

A Avg School Grade
8 Schools
14.8:1 Avg Class Size
$21,281 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

MC LAURIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
556 Students
👨‍🏫
11.2:1 Class Size
💰
$21,281 Per Student
A+ Excellent

MORGANTOWN ELEMENTARY

📚 K – 04 Elementary
👥
315 Students
👨‍🏫
10.0:1 Class Size
💰
$21,281 Per Student
A+ Excellent

SUSIE B WEST ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
417 Students
👨‍🏫
12.5:1 Class Size
💰
$21,281 Per Student
A Very Good

NATCHEZ HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
634 Students
👨‍🏫
17.4:1 Class Size
💰
$21,281 Per Student
A Very Good

NATCHEZ MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
601 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$21,281 Per Student
B+ Above Average

NATCHEZ EARLY COLLEGE@CO-LIN

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
187 Students
👨‍🏫
22.0:1 Class Size
💰
$21,281 Per Student
B Good

CAREER AND TECHNOLOGY CENTER

📚 10 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$21,281 Per Student
C+ Average

CENTRAL SCHOOL

📚 07 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$21,281 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Natchez, MS better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Natchez, MS best. The market produces steady results for that approach at the $122K price point.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Natchez, MS?

Natchez, MS sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader MS rental market.

What kind of market is Natchez, MS for investors?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Natchez, MS reflects its $122K prices and $765/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within MS.

Is the tenant base reliable in Natchez, MS?

Natchez, MS draws a reliable base of working renters. Demand at the $765/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Natchez, MS?

Rental owners in Natchez, MS deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

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How 39120 ranks in Natchez, MS-LA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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