Real Estate Investing in Smithville, Mississippi (38870)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Monroe County • Population: 2,471 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 38870 (Smithville, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (53/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 24.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Smithville, MS (38870)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $190,039
Avg Monthly Rent $891
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $54,562
% Renters 13.0%

Market Analysis: 38870 Smithville

In practical terms, ZIP 38870 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $190K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Put differently, the numbers look inviting — $190K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 38870 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Within MS, ZIP 38870 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Monroe County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and impressive enough to shape underwriting.

Meanwhile, 2,471 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 38870 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Smithville:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $891/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Tupelo, MS Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Tupelo, MS metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$198K$182K$167K$151K$135K$119KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38870 Compare?

Metric 38870 Smithville Tupelo, MS Mississippi
Home Value $190,039 $190,039 N/A $186,446
5-Year CAGR 3.5% 3.5% N/A 4.0%
Avg Rent $891 $891 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.7% 3.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38870? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38870 (Smithville, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 38870 (Smithville, MS)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.5%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Tupelo, MS metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $190,039
Monthly Rent $891
Price-to-Rent 17.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.6%
Cap Rate 3.7%
5-Year IRR 7.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
24.4%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38870

Population: 2,471

💰 Median Household Income
$54,562
This area
$54,562
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.0%
This area
13.0%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.6%
This area
0.6%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
22.8%
This area
22.8%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.2 years
This area
44.2 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
24.4%
This area
24.4%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 93.9%
Other/Mixed 4.7%
Black/African American 1.4%
Hispanic/Latino 0.1%
👶 Under 18
19.6%
This area
19.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
25.4%
This area
25.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.7%
This area
8.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38870

B Avg School Grade
1 Schools
12.9:1 Avg Class Size
$10,157 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

SMITHVILLE HIGH SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12
👥
567 Students
👨‍🏫
12.9:1 Class Size
💰
$10,157 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 784 Off-Campus Students
C+
Itawamba Community College
4,937 students · 14.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 784 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Smithville, MS a smart market for rental property?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Smithville, MS reflects its $190K prices and $891/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within MS.

What approach is best for Smithville, MS real estate?

The best-fit strategy in Smithville, MS is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

Should investors worry about vacancy in Smithville, MS?

Smithville, MS sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader MS rental market.

Are tenants stable in Smithville, MS?

Smithville, MS draws a steady base of working renters. Demand at the $891/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

What is the typical home price in Smithville, MS?

In Smithville, MS the median home value sits at $190K. Against the broader MS market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

You know 38870 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 38870 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans

How 38870 ranks in Tupelo, MS

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 38870 (Smithville)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 38870 (Smithville, MS).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.