Real Estate Investing in Shaw, Mississippi (38773)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Sunflower County • Population: 2,290 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38773 (Shaw, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (57/100)

Mixed — values have been flat. OK for long-horizon buyers, less attractive if you may need to sell soon.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (57/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
5 flags
  • High vacancy: 15.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -6.5% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 15.2% in the last year.
  • Elevated poverty: 24.1% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Shaw, MS (38773)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $85,947
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $29,488
% Renters 35.7%

Market Analysis: 38773 Shaw

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Shaw's 38773 ZIP sits at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $86K pricing implies.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $86K asset, 38773 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Statewide comparisons place 38773 among MS's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

The 38773 ZIP's population of 2,290 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that reports the need for careful underwriting.

The right play in 38773 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Shaw:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 48/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
0/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.9× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-15.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Indianola, MS Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
2.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Indianola, MS metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$140K$128K$115K$103K$91K$79KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38773 Compare?

Metric 38773 Shaw Indianola, MS Mississippi
Home Value $85,947 $85,947 N/A $186,446
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 4.0%
Avg Rent $783 $783 N/A -
Cap Rate 7.1% 7.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38773? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 36% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38773 (Shaw, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
7.1%
Good
5yr Growth
-6.5%
Declining

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Indianola, MS metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $85,947
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 9.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 10.9%
Cap Rate 7.1%
5-Year IRR 0.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -15.2% ▼
3-Year CAGR -7.7% ▼
5-Year CAGR -6.5% ▼
10-Year CAGR -0.2% ▼

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Neutral Leverage Cap Rate: 7.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage is roughly neutral here.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) is close to the estimated cap rate (7.1%). Financing this market at current rates produces a cash-on-cash return near the cap rate. Appreciation and tax benefits may still support the investment.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
15.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-6.5%
Declining
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38773

Population: 2,290

💰 Median Household Income
$29,488
This area
$29,488
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
35.7%
This area
35.7%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
6.8%
This area
6.8%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
20.3%
This area
20.3%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
45.5 years
This area
45.5 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
15.9%
This area
15.9%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Black/African American 74.5%
White 24.2%
Hispanic/Latino 1.4%
Other/Mixed 1.4%
👶 Under 18
21.7%
This area
21.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
25.4%
This area
25.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
24.1%
This area
24.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38773

A Avg School Grade
2 Schools
10.9:1 Avg Class Size
$16,435 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

MCEVANS SCHOOL

📚 K – 06 School
👥
195 Students
👨‍🏫
11.6:1 Class Size
💰
$16,435 Per Student
A Very Good

SHAW HIGH SCHOOL

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
199 Students
👨‍🏫
10.2:1 Class Size
💰
$16,435 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 111 Off-Campus Students
C+
Delta State University
2,716 students · 9.9 mi
F
Goshen School of Cosmetology
27 students · 11.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Shaw, MS a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Shaw, MS rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $86K and rents near $783/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Shaw, MS?

Shaw, MS home values average about $86K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $783/mo in monthly income.

What do landlords charge for rent in Shaw, MS?

The typical rental in Shaw, MS commands about $783/mo monthly. That rent profile consistent cash flow against the $86K purchase basis.

Do rentals sit vacant long in Shaw, MS?

Occupancy in Shaw, MS runs steady with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $783/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

How should investors approach Shaw, MS?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Shaw, MS best. The market produces steady results for that approach at the $86K price point.

You know 38773 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38773 ranks in Indianola, MS

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