Real Estate Investing in Lawrenceburg, Tennessee (38464)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lawrence County • Population: 23,727 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 38464 (Lawrenceburg, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (58/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 10.7% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Lawrenceburg, TN (38464)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $245,003
Avg Monthly Rent $1,170
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $44,848
% Renters 29.8%

Market Analysis: 38464 Lawrenceburg

Investors eyeing 38464 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $245K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 38464 sits at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Within TN, ZIP 38464 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Lawrence County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and substantial enough to shape underwriting.

Who lives in 38464 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The right play in 38464 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lawrenceburg:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,170/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Lawrenceburg, TN Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
10.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lawrenceburg, TN metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38464

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+12.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$77,600/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $169,556 $950 4.0% +12.8% $84,778
3BR $257,506 $1,140 3.2% +11.4% $85,835
4BR $310,401 $1,270 2.9% +11.3% $77,600

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$263K$225K$188K$150K$112K$74KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

No data available

📊 How Does 38464 Compare?

Metric 38464 Lawrenceburg Lawrenceburg, TN Tennessee
Home Value $245,003 $245,003 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR 6.6% 6.6% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,170 $1,170 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.7% 3.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38464? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38464 (Lawrenceburg, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.6%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Lawrenceburg, TN metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
66%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $245,003
Monthly Rent $1,170
Price-to-Rent 17.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.7%
Cap Rate 3.7%
5-Year IRR 10.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
10.7%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.6%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38464

Population: 23,727

💰 Median Household Income
$44,848
This area
$44,848
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
29.8%
This area
29.8%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.7%
This area
3.7%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
15.7%
This area
15.7%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.9 years
This area
39.9 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
10.7%
This area
10.7%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 91.1%
Other/Mixed 6.3%
Hispanic/Latino 3.0%
Black/African American 2.2%
Asian 0.4%
👶 Under 18
22.6%
This area
22.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.0%
This area
18.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
19.1%
This area
19.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38464

C+ Avg School Grade
8 Schools
14.6:1 Avg Class Size
$10,977 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

David Crockett Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
440 Students
👨‍🏫
13.3:1 Class Size
💰
$10,977 Per Student
B Good

Ingram Sowell Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
413 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$10,977 Per Student
B Good

New Prospect Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
398 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$10,977 Per Student
B Good

E O Coffman Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
586 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$10,977 Per Student
B Good

Lawrenceburg Public

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
499 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$10,977 Per Student
C+ Average

Pioneer Virtual Academy

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
145 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$10,977 Per Student
C+ Average

Lawrence Co High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,101 Students
👨‍🏫
17.4:1 Class Size
💰
$10,977 Per Student
C Below Average

Lawrence County Adult High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$10,977 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C+
Lawrenceburg Technical College
39 students · 6.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the tenant base reliable in Lawrenceburg, TN?

Tenant demand in Lawrenceburg, TN is solid. The local workforce $1,170/mo rents across most rental classes.

Is Lawrenceburg, TN landlord-friendly?

TN law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Lawrenceburg inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

How do home values compare in Lawrenceburg, TN?

Homes in Lawrenceburg, TN typically sell near $245K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which predictable long-term demand.

Should investors worry about vacancy in Lawrenceburg, TN?

Lawrenceburg, TN sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader TN rental market.

Is house hacking profitable in Lawrenceburg, TN?

House hacking works a challenging in Lawrenceburg, TN. Rents of $1,170/mo against $245K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

You know 38464 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38464 ranks in Lawrenceburg, TN

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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