Real Estate Investing in Saint Joseph, Tennessee (38481)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lawrence County • Population: 876 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38481 (Saint Joseph, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (49/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 11.8% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • Lower household income: $39,479 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Saint Joseph, TN (38481)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

0.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $163,562
Avg Monthly Rent $837
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $39,479
% Renters 20.3%

Market Analysis: 38481 Saint Joseph

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Saint Joseph's 38481 ZIP reflects signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $164K pricing implies.

Rent of $837/mo on a $164K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 38481 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Statewide comparisons place 38481 among TN's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Meanwhile, 876 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

The 38481 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Saint Joseph:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 57/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.1× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $837/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Lawrenceburg, TN Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
10.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lawrenceburg, TN metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$178K$173K$169K$165K$161K$157KFeb 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38481 Compare?

Metric 38481 Saint Joseph Lawrenceburg, TN Tennessee
Home Value $163,562 $163,562 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $837 $837 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.0% 4.0% - -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38481 (Saint Joseph, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
4.0%
Low

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Lawrenceburg, TN metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
66%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $163,562
Monthly Rent $837
Price-to-Rent 16.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 4.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
11.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
N/A
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38481

Population: 876

💰 Median Household Income
$39,479
This area
$39,479
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
20.3%
This area
20.3%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
12.4%
This area
12.4%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
42.4 years
This area
42.4 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
11.8%
This area
11.8%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 93.8%
Other/Mixed 3.0%
Asian 2.4%
Hispanic/Latino 1.4%
Black/African American 0.9%
👶 Under 18
18.8%
This area
18.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.3%
This area
18.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
11.2%
This area
11.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Is vacancy a concern in Saint Joseph, TN?

Expect elevated vacancy in Saint Joseph, TN. Rents at $837/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Are renters plentiful in Saint Joseph, TN?

Saint Joseph, TN draws a even-keeled base of working renters. Demand at the $837/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

Does Saint Joseph, TN make sense for an investment property?

The 2.0/5 investability rating in Saint Joseph, TN reflects its $164K prices and $837/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within TN.

How strict are landlord regulations in Saint Joseph, TN?

Rental owners in Saint Joseph, TN deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

What strategy should investors use in Saint Joseph, TN?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Saint Joseph, TN. With home values at $164K and rents near $837/mo, other strategies can work but produce even-keeled rather than outsized returns.

You know 38481 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38481 ranks in Lawrenceburg, TN

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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