Real Estate Investing in Pigeon Forge, Tennessee (37863)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Sevier County • Population: 6,469 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 37863 (Pigeon Forge, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (38/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 56.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Pigeon Forge, TN (37863)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $419,660
Avg Monthly Rent $1,638
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $52,434
% Renters 51.4%

Market Analysis: 37863 Pigeon Forge

This part of Sevier County is not an easy win. The 37863 ZIP posts softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

The 37863 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

ZIP 37863's metrics run below Sevier County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The 37863 ZIP's population of 6,469 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that sits at the need for careful underwriting.

leans the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Pigeon Forge:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 53/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 8× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,638/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Sevierville, TN Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
95 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.1%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Sevierville, TN metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 37863

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
2.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+11.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$157,453/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $355,572 $880 1.8% +9.4% $355,572
2BR $417,644 $1,050 1.8% +8.6% $208,822
3BR $472,360 $1,380 2.1% +7.9% $157,453
4BR $720,620 $1,390 1.4% +11.2% $180,155

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$543K$458K$374K$289K$204K$119KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,928$1,846$1,764$1,682$1,600$1,518Feb 2026May 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 37863 Compare?

Metric 37863 Pigeon Forge Sevierville, TN Tennessee
Home Value $419,660 $437,807 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR 2.1% 2.3% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,638 $1,650 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.0% 2.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 37863? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

51% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 37863 (Pigeon Forge, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.1%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Sevierville, TN metro

4/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
73%
Days Pending
2/2
95 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $419,660
Monthly Rent $1,638
Price-to-Rent 21.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.7%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 5.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR -3.8% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
56.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 37863

Population: 6,469

💰 Median Household Income
$52,434
This area
$52,434
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
51.4%
This area
51.4%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.2%
This area
1.2%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
11.1%
This area
11.1%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.1 years
This area
40.1 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
56.5%
This area
56.5%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 81.0%
Other/Mixed 17.0%
Hispanic/Latino 11.0%
Asian 1.3%
Black/African American 0.7%
👶 Under 18
26.3%
This area
26.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.2%
This area
18.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
19.1%
This area
19.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 37863

A Avg School Grade
3 Schools
12.5:1 Avg Class Size
$14,655 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Pigeon Forge High School

📚 10 – 12 High School
👥
455 Students
👨‍🏫
10.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,655 Per Student
A Very Good

Pigeon Forge Intermediate

📚 04 – 06 School
👥
390 Students
👨‍🏫
13.2:1 Class Size
💰
$14,655 Per Student
A Very Good

Pigeon Forge Junior High School

📚 07 – 09 High School
👥
517 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,655 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A Very Good

Sevierville Intermediate

📚 04 – 06 School
📍 520 High ST, Sevierville
👥
700 Students
👨‍🏫
12.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,655 Per Student
A Very Good

Sevierville Primary

📚 Pre-K – 01 Elementary
📍 1146 Blanton DR, Sevierville
👥
495 Students
👨‍🏫
12.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,655 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Sevier County High School

📚 10 – 12 High School
📍 1200 Dolly Parton PKWY, Sevierville
👥
925 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,655 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Sevierville Elementary

📚 02 – 03 Elementary
📍 416 High ST, Sevierville
👥
489 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,655 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Wearwood Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 3150 Wearwood DR, Sevierville
👥
187 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,655 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C+
Johnson University
950 students · 14.8 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is rental property easy to operate in Pigeon Forge, TN?

For rental operators, Pigeon Forge, TN rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

Can I live-in-and-rent in Pigeon Forge, TN?

House hacking works a challenging in Pigeon Forge, TN. Rents of $1,638/mo against $420K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

What are home prices like in Pigeon Forge, TN?

Expect median prices around $420K in Pigeon Forge, TN. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been steady.

What kind of market is Pigeon Forge, TN for investors?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Pigeon Forge, TN ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $420K and rents of $1,638/mo drive the underlying numbers.

Is Pigeon Forge, TN better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Pigeon Forge, TN. With home values at $420K and rents near $1,638/mo, other strategies can work but produce measured rather than outsized returns.

You know 37863 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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