Real Estate Investing in Fredericksburg, Virginia (22553)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Spotsylvania County • Population: 16,960 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 22553 (Fredericksburg, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (60/100)

Mixed — values have been flat. OK for long-horizon buyers, less attractive if you may need to sell soon.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.2% CAGR).

What’s happening in Fredericksburg, VA (22553)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $433,295
Avg Monthly Rent $1,906
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $117,195
% Renters 21.5%

Market Analysis: 22553 Fredericksburg

The 22553 ZIP covers a section of Fredericksburg that demands careful diligence. Prices near $433K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

For an experienced owner, 22553 can be a a viable market for hunting ground — but the discount at $433K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

ZIP 22553's metrics run below Spotsylvania County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Resident income in 22553 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. durable returns are possible in 22553, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Fredericksburg:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 63/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.7× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,906/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 22553

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+7.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$135,088/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $342,551 $2,070 4.4% +7.3% $171,275
3BR $405,265 $2,610 4.6% +6.9% $135,088
4BR $558,321 $3,070 4.0% +6.8% $139,580
5BR $701,017 +6.9% $140,203

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$618K$558K$498K$438K$378K$317KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,060$1,958$1,856$1,754$1,652$1,550Jan 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22553 Compare?

Metric 22553 Fredericksburg Virginia
Home Value $433,295 $484,516 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 1.2% 4.2% 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,906 $2,021 -
Cap Rate 3.4% 3.3% -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22553 (Fredericksburg, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 22553 (Fredericksburg, VA)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.2%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $433,295
Monthly Rent $1,906
Price-to-Rent 18.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.3%
Cap Rate 3.4%
5-Year IRR 4.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +0.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +9.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.0%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.2%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22553

Population: 16,960

💰 Median Household Income
$117,195
This area
$117,195
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
21.5%
This area
21.5%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.1%
This area
2.1%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
35.9%
This area
35.9%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.8 years
This area
37.8 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.0%
This area
5.0%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 73.7%
Black/African American 14.3%
Other/Mixed 10.6%
Hispanic/Latino 5.7%
Asian 1.3%
👶 Under 18
23.6%
This area
23.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.3%
This area
13.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22553

B+ Avg School Grade
14 Schools
15.3:1 Avg Class Size
$14,142 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Ni River Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
713 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
A Very Good

Post Oak Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
711 Students
👨‍🏫
12.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Berkeley Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
282 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Brock Road Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
683 Students
👨‍🏫
17.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Courthouse Road Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
768 Students
👨‍🏫
15.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Courtland Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
563 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Riverview Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
669 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Spotswood Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
524 Students
👨‍🏫
17.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Wilderness Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
650 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Courtland High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,497 Students
👨‍🏫
13.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Spotsylvania Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,004 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
B Good

Spotsylvania Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
593 Students
👨‍🏫
22.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,142 Per Student
C+ Average

Spotsylvania Career and Technical Center

📚 Grade N Elementary Limited Data
💰
$14,142 Per Student
C Below Average

John J. Wright Educational And Cultural Center

📚 Grade N Elementary Limited Data
💰
$14,142 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 1,693 Off-Campus Students
C
Eastern Virginia Career College
217 students · 8.0 mi
C+
University of Mary Washington
3,808 students · 9.2 mi
C
Germanna Community College
8,082 students · 10.7 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,693 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the investability score for Fredericksburg, VA?

Yes - Fredericksburg, VA a 2.0/5 investability score. With $433K home prices against $1,906/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

Which real estate strategy fits Fredericksburg, VA?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Fredericksburg, VA. The numbers - $433K homes against $1,906/mo rents - support that play.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Fredericksburg, VA?

Expect median prices around $433K in Fredericksburg, VA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been even-keeled.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Fredericksburg, VA?

Occupancy in Fredericksburg, VA runs predictable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,906/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Fredericksburg, VA?

Fredericksburg, VA falls under VA landlord-tenant law, which is landlord-friendly. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

You know 22553 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 22553 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans

How 22553 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 22553 (Fredericksburg)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 22553 (Fredericksburg, VA).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.