Real Estate Investing in Fredericksburg, Virginia (22401)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fredericksburg City • Population: 28,201 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22401 (Fredericksburg, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (56/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Fredericksburg, VA (22401)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $475,129
Avg Monthly Rent $1,953
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $83,288
% Renters 61.7%

Market Analysis: 22401 Fredericksburg

This part of Fredericksburg City is not an easy win. The 22401 ZIP shows softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Rent of $1,953/mo on a $475K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 22401 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Nearby ZIPs in Fredericksburg have seen price recovery that 22401 has not matched. Fredericksburg City data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

The demographic picture in 22401 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Fredericksburg averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategy in 22401 is an operator game, not a passive one. On the rental side, entry prices of $475K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Fredericksburg:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,953/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 22401

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
4.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+6.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$132,028/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $285,499 $1,570 4.0% +3.2% $285,499
2BR $322,430 $1,750 3.9% +6.5% $161,215
3BR $447,603 $2,210 3.6% +5.9% $149,201
4BR $568,172 $2,600 3.3% +6.2% $142,043
5BR $660,139 +5.9% $132,028

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$494K$441K$387K$334K$280K$227KJun 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,136$1,939$1,742$1,545$1,348$1,151Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22401 Compare?

Metric 22401 Fredericksburg Virginia
Home Value $475,129 $484,516 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 3.7% 4.2% 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,953 $2,021 -
Cap Rate 3.2% 3.3% -
💡 Why Invest in 22401? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

62% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22401 (Fredericksburg, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.7%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $475,129
Monthly Rent $1,953
Price-to-Rent 20.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.9%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 6.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -4.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.0%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22401

Population: 28,201

💰 Median Household Income
$83,288
This area
$83,288
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
61.7%
This area
61.7%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
43.4%
This area
43.4%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
30.9 years
This area
30.9 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.0%
This area
7.0%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 59.9%
Black/African American 21.5%
Other/Mixed 14.8%
Hispanic/Latino 8.2%
Asian 3.8%
👶 Under 18
20.9%
This area
20.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.2%
This area
11.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
12.3%
This area
12.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22401

A Avg School Grade
5 Schools
15.3:1 Avg Class Size
$17,397 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Walker-Grant Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
774 Students
👨‍🏫
14.1:1 Class Size
💰
$17,397 Per Student
A Very Good

James Monroe High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,005 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$17,397 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Hugh Mercer Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
849 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$17,397 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Lafayette Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
809 Students
👨‍🏫
15.4:1 Class Size
💰
$17,397 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Walker-Grant Early Childhood Center

📚 Grade PK Elementary
👥
138 Students
👨‍🏫
17.7:1 Class Size
💰
$17,397 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 182 Off-Campus Students
C+
University of Mary Washington
3,808 students · 0.6 mi
C
Eastern Virginia Career College
217 students · 4.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What are vacancy rates like in Fredericksburg, VA?

Rental vacancy in Fredericksburg, VA is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

What is the typical home price in Fredericksburg, VA?

Fredericksburg, VA home values average about $475K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $1,953/mo in monthly income.

What is the investability score for Fredericksburg, VA?

Fredericksburg, VA rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $475K and rents near $1,953/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

Is Fredericksburg, VA landlord-friendly?

Fredericksburg, VA operates under VA law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect measured treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

Where do rents currently stand in Fredericksburg, VA?

Fredericksburg, VA rentals go for roughly $1,953/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $475K acquisition costs.

You know 22401 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 22401 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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