Real Estate Investing in Fredericksburg, Virginia (22405)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Stafford County • Population: 36,093 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22405 (Fredericksburg, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (71/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Fredericksburg, VA (22405)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $479,669
Avg Monthly Rent $2,352
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $123,923
% Renters 15.7%

Market Analysis: 22405 Fredericksburg

Investors eyeing 22405 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $480K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $480K asset, 22405 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Within VA, ZIP 22405 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Stafford County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and substantial enough to shape underwriting.

A durable renter share of 16% in 22405 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

New investors are better served looking at Fredericksburg's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 22405. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Fredericksburg:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 69/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.9× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,352/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 22405

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+7.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$124,844/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $315,572 $2,010 4.6% +7.6% $157,786
3BR $411,988 $2,540 4.4% +7.2% $137,329
4BR $550,411 $2,980 3.9% +7.1% $137,603
5BR $624,218 +6.9% $124,844

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$503K$440K$377K$315K$252K$189KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,422$2,394$2,365$2,337$2,309$2,280Jan 2025Oct 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22405 Compare?

Metric 22405 Fredericksburg Virginia
Home Value $479,669 $484,516 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.7% 4.2% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,352 $2,021 -
Cap Rate 3.8% 3.3% -
💡 Why Invest in 22405? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22405 (Fredericksburg, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.7%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $479,669
Monthly Rent $2,352
Price-to-Rent 17.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.9%
Cap Rate 3.8%
5-Year IRR 8.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -1.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22405

Population: 36,093

💰 Median Household Income
$123,923
This area
$123,923
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
15.7%
This area
15.7%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
44.8%
This area
44.8%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.5 years
This area
37.5 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.7%
This area
5.7%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 68.1%
Black/African American 15.2%
Other/Mixed 14.4%
Hispanic/Latino 7.2%
Asian 2.3%
👶 Under 18
26.3%
This area
26.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.5%
This area
13.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22405

B Avg School Grade
9 Schools
14.5:1 Avg Class Size
$13,111 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Edward E. Drew Jr. Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
600 Students
👨‍🏫
11.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,111 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Falmouth Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
726 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$13,111 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Ferry Farm Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
550 Students
👨‍🏫
12.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,111 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Grafton Village Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
743 Students
👨‍🏫
14.6:1 Class Size
💰
$13,111 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Donald B. Dixon-Lyle R. Smith Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
877 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$13,111 Per Student
B Good

Conway Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
918 Students
👨‍🏫
15.6:1 Class Size
💰
$13,111 Per Student
C+ Average

Stafford Senior High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,223 Students
👨‍🏫
12.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,111 Per Student
C+ Average
👥
292 Students
👨‍🏫
19.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,111 Per Student
C Below Average

Phoenix Center for Innovative Learning

📚 Grade N Elementary Limited Data
💰
$13,111 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 182 Off-Campus Students
C+
University of Mary Washington
3,808 students · 4.0 mi
C
Eastern Virginia Career College
217 students · 7.2 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is Fredericksburg, VA for real estate investors?

Yes - Fredericksburg, VA a 3.0/5 investability score. With $480K home prices against $2,352/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Fredericksburg, VA?

Vacancy in Fredericksburg, VA is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $2,352/mo.

Is Fredericksburg, VA better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Fredericksburg, VA. With home values at $480K and rents near $2,352/mo, other strategies can work but produce predictable rather than outsized returns.

How landlord-friendly is Fredericksburg, VA?

For rental operators, Fredericksburg, VA rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

What are home prices like in Fredericksburg, VA?

Expect median prices around $480K in Fredericksburg, VA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been reliable.

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How 22405 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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