Real Estate Investing in McLean, Virginia (22102)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fairfax County • Population: 28,577 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22102 (McLean, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (44/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.3% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 26.1 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in McLean, VA (22102)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $832,440
Avg Monthly Rent $2,657
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $149,420
% Renters 50.2%

Market Analysis: 22102 McLean

In practical terms, ZIP 22102 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $832K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $832K asset, 22102 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Nearby ZIPs in McLean have seen price recovery that 22102 has not matched. Fairfax County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

The 22102 ZIP's population of 28,577 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that reports the need for careful underwriting.

Strategy in 22102 is an operator game, not a passive one. In practical terms, entry prices of $832K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in McLean:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 60/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.6× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,657/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 22102

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
6.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+6.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$235,839/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $321,850 $2,730 6.1% +2.1% $321,850
2BR $471,677 $3,040 4.6% +2.3% $235,839
3BR $870,920 $3,840 3.2% +3.0% $290,307
4BR $1,677,189 $4,510 1.9% +6.4% $419,297
5BR $2,370,302 +6.8% $474,060

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$872K$797K$721K$645K$569K$493KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,757$2,593$2,428$2,263$2,099$1,934Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22102 Compare?

Metric 22102 McLean Virginia
Home Value $832,440 $1,261,897 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 1.8% 3.6% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,657 $3,406 -
Cap Rate 2.5% 2.2% -
💡 Why Invest in 22102? Click to expand

50% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22102 (McLean, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Fairfax County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

CAMP provides HOA community management services for condos and co-ops in VA, MD, and DC. summary from their website

HOA
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Chambers Theory provides residential and commercial property management services in Northern Virginia, DC, and MD, with customized plans and guarantees. summary from their website

Commercial
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

HomeRiver Group offers property management, brokerage, rehab and construction, leasing, renewals, and maintenance services for single-family and multi-family homes. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamily
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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
2.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.8%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $832,440
Monthly Rent $2,657
Price-to-Rent 26.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.8%
Cap Rate 2.5%
5-Year IRR 4.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -2.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR +2.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.1% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.3%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.8%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22102

Population: 28,577

💰 Median Household Income
$149,420
This area
$149,420
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
50.2%
This area
50.2%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
83.0%
This area
83.0%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
38.0 years
This area
38.0 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.3%
This area
8.3%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 55.9%
Asian 28.9%
Other/Mixed 10.2%
Hispanic/Latino 5.6%
Black/African American 4.9%
👶 Under 18
18.3%
This area
18.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.3%
This area
15.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.1%
This area
3.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22102

B+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
18.3:1 Avg Class Size
$19,816 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Spring Hill Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
948 Students
👨‍🏫
18.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Colvin Run Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 1400 Trap Rd., Vienna
👥
766 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Freedom Hill Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 1945 Lord Fairfax Rd, Vienna
👥
529 Students
👨‍🏫
12.5:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Wolftrap Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 1903 Beulah Rd, Vienna
👥
550 Students
👨‍🏫
16.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Kilmer Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
📍 8100 Wolftrap Rd, Vienna
👥
1,194 Students
👨‍🏫
13.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Westbriar Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 1741 Pine Valley Dr, Vienna
👥
847 Students
👨‍🏫
17.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby
C
Columbia College
239 students · 2.0 mi
C
American Massage & Bodywork Institute
105 students · 2.0 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Tysons Corner
94 students · 2.4 mi
C+
Washington University of Science and Technology
1,105 students · 2.5 mi
C
The Esthetic Institute
107 students · 2.6 mi
C
Chamberlain University-Virginia
567 students · 2.9 mi
D
Virginia University of Integrative Medicine
403 students · 2.9 mi
C+
University of the Potomac-VA Campus
547 students · 3.2 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Where do home prices stand in McLean, VA?

Expect median prices around $832K in McLean, VA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been consistent.

Are renters plentiful in McLean, VA?

The tenant pool in McLean, VA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $2,657/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

How much do tenants pay in McLean, VA?

Investors in McLean, VA typically see rents near $2,657/mo per month against $832K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Is McLean, VA good for landlords?

Rental owners in McLean, VA deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

Can owner-occupants cash flow in McLean, VA?

House hacking in McLean, VA is a challenging. With home values around $832K and rents at $2,657/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

You know 22102 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 22102 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 22102 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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