Real Estate Investing in Mount Carmel, Pennsylvania (17851)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Northumberland County • Population: 7,174 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 17851 (Mount Carmel, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (79/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
STRONG
5.0 / 5 (100/100)

A balanced market — moderate cash flow and moderate appreciation. A "steady" investor profile fits best.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 22.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Mount Carmel, PA (17851)?

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5.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $56,659
Avg Monthly Rent $873
1% Rule ✓ Meets
Median Income $48,287
% Renters 27.6%

Market Analysis: 17851 Mount Carmel

In Mount Carmel's 17851 ZIP, the arithmetic favors hands-on owners. Median home values sits at $57K, leaving spread for capex-heavy BRRRR or reposition strategies.

In 17851, the deal is made on the buy and on the capex. healthy entry prices of $57K leave room in the budget for light-to-medium renovation, with rent lift to match.

In Northumberland County, 17851 is part of the operational map, not the passive one. The spread between median price and renovated comp reflects the work available.

From an investor standpoint, incomes in 17851 sit below the county median, the tenant pool is deep and the demand for upgraded rental stock consistently outruns supply.

Value-add plays pencil in 17851 when three things line up: a sub-median purchase, a realistic rehab budget, and a post-rehab rent comp that stands up. All three are present in this ZIP.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Mount Carmel:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 77/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 1.2× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+3.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $873/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Sunbury, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Sunbury, PA metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$66K$59K$53K$46K$39K$33KFeb 2009Nov 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 17851 Compare?

Metric 17851 Mount Carmel Sunbury, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $56,659 $56,659 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 5.5% 5.5% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $873 $873 N/A -
Cap Rate 12.0% 12.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 17851? Click to expand

This ZIP code meets the 1% rule with rent at $873/mo on homes averaging $56,659 — a strong indicator of cash flow potential.

Our analysis gives this area a 5/5 investability rating, placing it in the top tier for rental property potential.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 17851 (Mount Carmel, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Excellent
Cap Rate
12.0%
Excellent
5yr Growth
+5.5%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Sunbury, PA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
59%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $56,659
Monthly Rent $873
Price-to-Rent 5.4:1
1% Rule ✓ Passes

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 18.5%
Cap Rate 12.0%
5-Year IRR 17.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Positive Leverage Market Cap Rate: 12.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage may enhance returns here.

The estimated cap rate (12.0%) exceeds the current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%). When borrowing costs less than a property yields, leverage can increase your cash-on-cash return above the cap rate.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
22.1%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 17851

Population: 7,174

💰 Median Household Income
$48,287
This area
$48,287
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
27.6%
This area
27.6%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.2%
This area
4.2%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
13.3%
This area
13.3%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.6 years
This area
44.6 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
22.1%
This area
22.1%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 93.4%
Other/Mixed 4.5%
Hispanic/Latino 4.1%
Black/African American 1.7%
Asian 0.4%
👶 Under 18
18.0%
This area
18.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.0%
This area
22.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
14.3%
This area
14.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 17851

A Avg School Grade
3 Schools
15.6:1 Avg Class Size
$21,584 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Mount Carmel Area El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
817 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$21,584 Per Student
A Very Good

Mount Carmel Area JHS

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
260 Students
👨‍🏫
15.2:1 Class Size
💰
$21,584 Per Student
A Very Good

Mount Carmel Area HS

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
493 Students
👨‍🏫
18.3:1 Class Size
💰
$21,584 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 466 Off-Campus Students
C
Schuylkill Technology Center
74 students · 10.8 mi
C+
Commonwealth University of Pennsylvania
11,088 students · 14.2 mi
C
Empire Beauty School-Pottsville
56 students · 14.5 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How much rent can I charge in Mount Carmel, PA?

Investors in Mount Carmel, PA typically see rents near $873/mo per month against $57K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Does the 1% rule work in Mount Carmel, PA?

Hitting the 1% rule in Mount Carmel, PA is realistic given the 1.54% average rent-to-price. Most value-add properties push well above that line.

Is housing expensive in Mount Carmel, PA?

Homes in Mount Carmel, PA typically sell near $57K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which stable long-term demand.

Is real estate in Mount Carmel, PA a good investment right now?

Yes - Mount Carmel, PA a 5.0/5 investability score. With $57K home prices against $873/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

How well does BRRRR work in Mount Carmel, PA?

BRRRR in Mount Carmel, PA is a strong. The interplay of $57K values and $873/mo rents creates reasonable refinance conditions.

You know 17851 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 17851 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 17851 ranks in Sunbury, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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