Real Estate Investing in Dayton, Pennsylvania (16222)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Armstrong County • Population: 3,139 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16222 (Dayton, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (44/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 14.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.4% CAGR).

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Dayton, PA (16222)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $176,434
Avg Monthly Rent $873
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $57,774
% Renters 10.1%

Market Analysis: 16222 Dayton

The 16222 ZIP in Dayton, PA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $176K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 16222 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

ZIP 16222's metrics run below Armstrong County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The 16222 ZIP's population of 3,139 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that reports the need for careful underwriting.

The 16222 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Dayton:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.1× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $873/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Pittsburgh, PA Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
42 days
Average time to sell
Average
10.7%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Pittsburgh, PA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 16222

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
5.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+5.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$50,319/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $160,335 $970 4.4% +4.2% $80,168
3BR $171,707 $1,270 5.3% +4.3% $57,236
4BR $201,275 $1,380 4.9% +5.7% $50,319

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$187K$171K$156K$140K$124K$109KJan 2015Oct 2020Jul 2026

📊 How Does 16222 Compare?

Metric 16222 Dayton Pittsburgh, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $176,434 $176,434 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 1.4% 1.4% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $873 $873 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.9% 3.9% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16222 (Dayton, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 16222 (Dayton, PA)?

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.4%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Pittsburgh, PA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
48%
Days Pending
1/2
42 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $176,434
Monthly Rent $873
Price-to-Rent 16.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.9%
Cap Rate 3.9%
5-Year IRR 5.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
14.3%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16222

Population: 3,139

💰 Median Household Income
$57,774
This area
$57,774
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
10.1%
This area
10.1%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.4%
This area
4.4%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
15.7%
This area
15.7%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.4 years
This area
37.4 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
14.3%
This area
14.3%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 98.6%
Other/Mixed 0.8%
Asian 0.5%
Hispanic/Latino 0.2%
👶 Under 18
28.6%
This area
28.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.9%
This area
15.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.8%
This area
5.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 16222

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
12.1:1 Avg Class Size
$22,413 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Dayton El Sch

📚 K – 06 School
👥
194 Students
👨‍🏫
12.1:1 Class Size
💰
$22,413 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
C+
The Rapha School
51 students · 12.1 mi
C
Butler Beauty Academy-Kittanning Beauty Academy
39 students · 14.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home value in Dayton, PA?

Expect median prices around $176K in Dayton, PA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been stable.

Does house hacking work in Dayton, PA?

House hacking in Dayton, PA is reasonable to execute. Prices around $176K and rents of $873/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

What is the typical renter like in Dayton, PA?

Tenant quality in Dayton, PA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report stable occupancy at market rents of $873/mo.

How do experienced investors play Dayton, PA?

The best-fit strategy in Dayton, PA is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Dayton, PA?

Average rent in Dayton, PA is approximately $873/mo per month. Against $176K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

You know 16222 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 16222 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 16222 ranks in Pittsburgh, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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