Real Estate Investing in Orchard Park, New York (14127)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Erie County • Population: 30,783 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 14127 (Orchard Park, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (81/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Orchard Park, NY (14127)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $442,902
Avg Monthly Rent $2,069
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $100,953
% Renters 26.7%

Market Analysis: 14127 Orchard Park

Investors eyeing 14127 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $443K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $443K asset, 14127 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

ZIP 14127's metrics run below Erie County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Resident income in 14127 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

New investors are better served looking at Orchard Park's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 14127. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Orchard Park:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 76/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,069/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
24 days
Average time to sell
Fast
8.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 14127

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+8.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$114,906/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $266,458 $1,540 4.2% +8.9% $133,229
3BR $344,718 $1,880 3.9% +8.2% $114,906
4BR $546,498 $2,140 2.8% +8.7% $136,625
5BR $625,906 +8.7% $125,181

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$464K$403K$343K$282K$221K$161KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,095$2,020$1,946$1,871$1,797$1,722Feb 2026May 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 14127 Compare?

Metric 14127 Orchard Park Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY New York
Home Value $442,902 $442,902 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 7.2% 7.2% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $2,069 $2,069 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.6% 3.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 14127? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 14127 (Orchard Park, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+7.2%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $442,902
Monthly Rent $2,069
Price-to-Rent 17.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.6%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 10.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
1.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 14127

Population: 30,783

💰 Median Household Income
$100,953
This area
$100,953
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
26.7%
This area
26.7%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
52.6%
This area
52.6%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.2 years
This area
46.2 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
1.2%
This area
1.2%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 92.3%
Other/Mixed 6.0%
Hispanic/Latino 4.6%
Black/African American 1.5%
Asian 0.2%
👶 Under 18
20.1%
This area
20.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
23.7%
This area
23.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.9%
This area
4.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 14127

A+ Avg School Grade
6 Schools
11.2:1 Avg Class Size
$22,925 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

EGGERT ROAD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
609 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$22,925 Per Student
A+ Excellent

SOUTH DAVIS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
393 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$22,925 Per Student
A+ Excellent

WINDOM ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
615 Students
👨‍🏫
10.6:1 Class Size
💰
$22,925 Per Student
A+ Excellent

ELLICOTT ROAD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
717 Students
👨‍🏫
12.2:1 Class Size
💰
$22,925 Per Student
A+ Excellent

ORCHARD PARK HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,389 Students
👨‍🏫
11.7:1 Class Size
💰
$22,925 Per Student
A+ Excellent

ORCHARD PARK MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,056 Students
👨‍🏫
10.5:1 Class Size
💰
$22,925 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 4,052 Off-Campus Students
D
Bryant & Stratton College-Online
9,418 students · 3.0 mi
D
Hilbert College
973 students · 3.9 mi
C
Continental School of Beauty Culture-West Seneca
67 students · 5.3 mi
C
Erie 1 BOCES
312 students · 7.2 mi
D
Trocaire College
1,104 students · 7.4 mi
D
National Tractor Trailer School Inc-Buffalo
211 students · 9.7 mi
D
Empire Beauty School-Buffalo
78 students · 10.8 mi
C
Erie Community College
7,618 students · 11.1 mi

Investor Insight: With 4,052 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What real estate strategy is ideal for Orchard Park, NY?

Orchard Park, NY investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($443K prices, $2,069/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Is Orchard Park, NY a friendly market for rental owners?

Orchard Park, NY falls under NY landlord-tenant law, which is tenant-protective. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

How do home values compare in Orchard Park, NY?

Homes in Orchard Park, NY typically sell near $443K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which consistent long-term demand.

Is Orchard Park in NY worth investing in?

Our data puts Orchard Park, NY at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $443K and rents around $2,069/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

How strong is the working-renter base in Orchard Park, NY?

The renter base in Orchard Park, NY is reasonable for the $2,069/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields stable tenants.

You know 14127 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 14127 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 14127 ranks in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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