Real Estate Investing in Kiamesha Lake, New York (12751)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Sullivan County • Population: 1,340 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12751 (Kiamesha Lake, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

Rare combination of both appreciation and cash flow. These markets don't last long — worth serious consideration.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 33.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • Elevated poverty: 46.7% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Kiamesha Lake, NY (12751)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $214,607
Avg Monthly Rent $1,521
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $50,972
% Renters 53.2%

Market Analysis: 12751 Kiamesha Lake

ZIP 12751 in Kiamesha Lake, NY carries a resilient set of headwinds. Home values near $215K and rents of $1,521/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

The 12751 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Stepping back, 12751 offers a low basis, the region around Kiamesha Lake has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Who lives in 12751 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The 12751 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Kiamesha Lake:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 70/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,521/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$226K$194K$162K$130K$99K$67KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12751 Compare?

Metric 12751 Kiamesha Lake New York
Home Value $214,607 $214,607 $505,608
5-Year CAGR 9.9% 9.9% 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,521 $1,521 -
Cap Rate 5.5% 5.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 12751? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

53% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12751 (Kiamesha Lake, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.5%
Fair
5yr Growth
+9.9%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $214,607
Monthly Rent $1,521
Price-to-Rent 11.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.5%
Cap Rate 5.5%
5-Year IRR 15.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +7.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +9.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
33.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+9.9%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12751

Population: 1,340

💰 Median Household Income
$50,972
This area
$50,972
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
53.2%
This area
53.2%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
17.4%
This area
17.4%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
21.7 years
This area
21.7 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
33.6%
This area
33.6%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 72.4%
Black/African American 17.0%
Other/Mixed 10.6%
👶 Under 18
42.5%
This area
42.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.0%
This area
17.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
46.7%
This area
46.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 394 Off-Campus Students
C+
Yeshivath Zichron Moshe
222 students · 3.3 mi
C
Sullivan County Community College
1,809 students · 5.0 mi
B
Yeshiva of Ocean
57 students · 8.7 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What monthly rent should investors expect in Kiamesha Lake, NY?

Expect rents around $1,521/mo per month in Kiamesha Lake, NY. With home values at $215K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

How strong is tenant demand in Kiamesha Lake, NY?

The renter base in Kiamesha Lake, NY is reasonable for the $1,521/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields even-keeled tenants.

Is vacancy a concern in Kiamesha Lake, NY?

Vacancy in Kiamesha Lake, NY is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,521/mo.

Can I house hack in Kiamesha Lake, NY?

For house hackers, Kiamesha Lake, NY is a challenging. The $1,521/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $215K property.

How should investors approach Kiamesha Lake, NY?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Kiamesha Lake, NY. The numbers - $215K homes against $1,521/mo rents - support that play.

You know 12751 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 12751 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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