Real Estate Investing in Ferndale, New York (12734)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Sullivan County • Population: 563 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12734 (Ferndale, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (50/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 39.7% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • Elevated poverty: 27.3% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Ferndale, NY (12734)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $328,842
Avg Monthly Rent $1,215
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $51,766
% Renters 27.5%

Market Analysis: 12734 Ferndale

ZIP 12734 in Ferndale, NY carries a healthy set of headwinds. Home values near $329K and rents of $1,215/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 12734 records the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

In the broader NY picture, 12734 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

The 12734 ZIP's population of 563 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that reflects the need for careful underwriting.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 12734 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Ferndale:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 60/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,215/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$347K$298K$248K$198K$148K$99KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12734 Compare?

Metric 12734 Ferndale New York
Home Value $328,842 $328,842 $505,608
5-Year CAGR 8.2% 8.2% 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,215 $1,215 -
Cap Rate 2.9% 2.9% -
💡 Why Invest in 12734? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12734 (Ferndale, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+8.2%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $328,842
Monthly Rent $1,215
Price-to-Rent 22.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.4%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 11.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +8.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +9.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
39.7%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+8.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12734

Population: 563

💰 Median Household Income
$51,766
This area
$51,766
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
27.5%
This area
27.5%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
16.5%
This area
16.5%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.3 years
This area
40.3 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
39.7%
This area
39.7%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 75.9%
Other/Mixed 23.9%
Hispanic/Latino 22.9%
Black/African American 0.2%
👶 Under 18
26.4%
This area
26.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.8%
This area
16.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
27.3%
This area
27.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 394 Off-Campus Students
C
Sullivan County Community College
1,809 students · 4.8 mi
C+
Yeshivath Zichron Moshe
222 students · 6.8 mi
B
Yeshiva of Ocean
57 students · 13.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Do rentals sit vacant long in Ferndale, NY?

Expect elevated vacancy in Ferndale, NY. Rents at $1,215/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Are renters plentiful in Ferndale, NY?

Ferndale, NY draws a steady base of working renters. Demand at the $1,215/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

What investment strategy works best in Ferndale, NY?

Most investors in Ferndale, NY run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

What is the typical home price in Ferndale, NY?

In Ferndale, NY the median home value sits at $329K. Against the broader NY market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

How much rent can I charge in Ferndale, NY?

Ferndale, NY rentals go for roughly $1,215/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $329K acquisition costs.

You know 12734 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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