Real Estate Investing in White Lake, New York (12786)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Sullivan County • Population: 553 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12786 (White Lake, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (65/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 68.7% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in White Lake, NY (12786)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $305,419
Avg Monthly Rent $1,215
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $78,750
% Renters 0.0%

Market Analysis: 12786 White Lake

Not every below-median market is a bargain. White Lake's 12786 ZIP posts signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $305K pricing implies.

Rent of $1,215/mo on a $305K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 12786 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Nearby ZIPs in White Lake have seen price recovery that 12786 has not matched. Sullivan County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Meanwhile, 553 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Strategy in 12786 is an operator game, not a passive one. Put differently, entry prices of $305K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in White Lake:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 70/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,215/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$321K$278K$234K$190K$146K$102KNov 2009Mar 2018Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12786 Compare?

Metric 12786 White Lake New York
Home Value $305,419 $305,419 $505,608
5-Year CAGR 9.4% 9.4% 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,215 $1,215 -
Cap Rate 3.1% 3.1% -
💡 Why Invest in 12786? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12786 (White Lake, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.1%
Low
5yr Growth
+9.4%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $305,419
Monthly Rent $1,215
Price-to-Rent 21.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.8%
Cap Rate 3.1%
5-Year IRR 12.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +7.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +9.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +9.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
68.7%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+9.4%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12786

Population: 553

💰 Median Household Income
$78,750
This area
$78,750
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
44.1%
This area
44.1%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
65.9 years
This area
65.9 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
68.7%
This area
68.7%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 76.4%
Hispanic/Latino 20.2%
Other/Mixed 20.2%
Black/African American 3.3%
👶 Under 18
12.7%
This area
12.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
55.1%
This area
55.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 394 Off-Campus Students
C
Sullivan County Community College
1,809 students · 12.7 mi
C+
Yeshivath Zichron Moshe
222 students · 13.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is White Lake, NY for real estate investors?

Investors tracking White Lake, NY will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $305K median home values and $1,215/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting even-keeled returns.

What is the best play in White Lake, NY?

The best-fit strategy in White Lake, NY is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

What are home prices like in White Lake, NY?

Homes in White Lake, NY typically sell near $305K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which predictable long-term demand.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in White Lake, NY?

The landlord environment in White Lake, NY is tenant-protective. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in White Lake, NY?

Occupancy in White Lake, NY runs steady with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,215/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

You know 12786 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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