Real Estate Investing in Neskowin, Oregon (97149)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Tillamook County • Population: 679 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 97149 (Neskowin, OR)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (20/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
5 flags
  • High vacancy: 80.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -0.4% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 5.3% in the last year.
  • Higher unemployment: 9.0% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Neskowin, OR (97149)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $596,577
Avg Monthly Rent $1,386
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $81,382
% Renters 22.6%

Market Analysis: 97149 Neskowin

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Neskowin's 97149 ZIP registers signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $597K pricing implies.

The 97149 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Within OR, ZIP 97149 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Tillamook County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and impressive enough to shape underwriting.

Employment concentration in 97149 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

The 97149 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Neskowin:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 40/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.3× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-5.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,386/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
🏠

Property Strategy for 97149

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
2.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+5.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$224,756/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $567,050 $1,540 2.0% +4.8% $283,525
3BR $718,707 $2,140 2.1% +5.8% $239,569
4BR $899,024 $2,390 1.9% +5.2% $224,756

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$766K$670K$574K$478K$381K$285KJan 2009Oct 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 97149 Compare?

Metric 97149 Neskowin Oregon
Home Value $596,577 $596,577 $493,884
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 4.9%
Avg Rent $1,386 $1,386 -
Cap Rate 1.8% 1.8% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 97149 (Neskowin, OR). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.8%
Low
5yr Growth
-0.4%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $596,577
Monthly Rent $1,386
Price-to-Rent 35.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.8%
Cap Rate 1.8%
5-Year IRR 1.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -5.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR -4.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.4% ▼
10-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
80.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-0.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 97149

Population: 679

💰 Median Household Income
$81,382
This area
$81,382
State
$71,325
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
22.6%
This area
22.6%
State
28.8%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
9.0%
This area
9.0%
State
-6.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
41.1%
This area
41.1%
State
13.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
34.7 years
This area
34.7 years
State
31.5 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
80.6%
This area
80.6%
State
17.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 100.0%
👶 Under 18
31.0%
This area
31.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
8.9%
This area
8.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best play in Neskowin, OR?

For Neskowin, OR, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

How much do tenants pay in Neskowin, OR?

Expect rents around $1,386/mo per month in Neskowin, OR. With home values at $597K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Neskowin, OR?

Expect median prices around $597K in Neskowin, OR. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been reliable.

Is the tenant base reliable in Neskowin, OR?

The renter base in Neskowin, OR is reasonable for the $1,386/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields reliable tenants.

How tight is the rental market in Neskowin, OR?

Vacancy risk in Neskowin, OR is elevated. That supports steady cash flow for typical rental holds.

You know 97149 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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