Real Estate Investing in Pahoa, Hawaii (96778)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hawaii County • Population: 14,225 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 96778 (Pahoa, HI)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (42/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 15.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Elevated poverty: 23.8% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Lower household income: $39,010 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

What’s happening in Pahoa, HI (96778)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $292,823
Avg Monthly Rent $1,846
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $39,010
% Renters 23.1%

Market Analysis: 96778 Pahoa

The 96778 ZIP in Pahoa, HI is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $293K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $293K asset, 96778 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

In practical terms, 96778 offers a low basis, the region around Pahoa has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Who lives in 96778 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The 96778 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.95% as of Sep 17 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Pahoa:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 59/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,846/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Hilo, HI Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
87 days
Average time to sell
Slow
6.1%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Hilo, HI metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 96778

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
5.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+6.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$95,727/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $200,044 $1,520 5.5% +4.2% $200,044
2BR $265,676 $1,970 5.3% +6.6% $132,838
3BR $316,917 $2,490 5.7% +6.7% $105,639
4BR $382,908 $2,870 5.4% +5.9% $95,727

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$336K$299K$262K$224K$187K$150KMar 2015Nov 2020Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,872$1,824$1,776$1,728$1,679$1,631Apr 2026Jun 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 96778 Compare?

Metric 96778 Pahoa Hilo, HI Hawaii
Home Value $292,823 $292,823 N/A $824,731
5-Year CAGR 3.4% 3.4% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,846 $1,846 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.9% 4.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 96778? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 96778 (Pahoa, HI). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.9%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.4%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Hilo, HI metro

4/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
68%
Days Pending
2/2
87 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $292,823
Monthly Rent $1,846
Price-to-Rent 13.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.6%
Cap Rate 4.9%
5-Year IRR 8.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR -1.7% ▼
5-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.9%  |  30yr Rate: 7.0%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (7.0%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
15.4%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 96778

Population: 14,225

💰 Median Household Income
$39,010
This area
$39,010
State
$87,967
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
23.1%
This area
23.1%
State
37.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
5.4%
This area
5.4%
State
-27.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
22.8%
This area
22.8%
State
-0.9%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
43.5 years
This area
43.5 years
State
-1.2 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
15.4%
This area
15.4%
State
18.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 50.4%
White 37.4%
Asian 11.9%
Hispanic/Latino 4.1%
Black/African American 0.3%
👶 Under 18
23.2%
This area
23.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.4%
This area
21.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
23.8%
This area
23.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 96778

A Avg School Grade
4 Schools
14.3:1 Avg Class Size
$19,381 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Keonepoko Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
552 Students
👨‍🏫
12.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,381 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Pahoa High & Intermediate School

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
758 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,381 Per Student
A Very Good

Hawaii Academy of Arts & Science PCS

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
708 Students
👨‍🏫
14.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,381 Per Student
A Very Good

Pahoa Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
394 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,381 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What do rentals go for in Pahoa, HI?

Rental rates in Pahoa, HI average $1,846/mo. Tenant demand and $293K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

How do experienced investors play Pahoa, HI?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Pahoa, HI. The numbers - $293K homes against $1,846/mo rents - support that play.

What kind of market is Pahoa, HI for investors?

Investors tracking Pahoa, HI will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $293K median home values and $1,846/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting consistent returns.

How strong is the working-renter base in Pahoa, HI?

Tenant demand in Pahoa, HI is solid. The local workforce $1,846/mo rents across most rental classes.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Pahoa, HI?

HI ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Pahoa generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

You know 96778 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 96778 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 96778 ranks in Hilo, HI

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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