Real Estate Investing in Covelo, California (95428)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Mendocino County • Population: 2,667 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95428 (Covelo, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (38/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
6 flags
  • High vacancy: 27.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -9.8% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 8.0% in the last year.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Covelo, CA (95428)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $248,131
Avg Monthly Rent $1,386
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $46,694
% Renters 31.7%

Market Analysis: 95428 Covelo

The 95428 ZIP in Covelo, CA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $248K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

The 95428 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Statewide comparisons place 95428 among CA's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Demographically, 95428 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. sturdy returns are possible in 95428, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Covelo:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 38/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
0/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.3× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-8.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,386/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Ukiah, CA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.3%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Ukiah, CA metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$444K$382K$320K$257K$195K$132KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95428 Compare?

Metric 95428 Covelo Ukiah, CA California
Home Value $248,131 $248,131 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,386 $1,386 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.4% 4.4% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95428? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95428 (Covelo, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
-9.8%
Declining

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Ukiah, CA metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
62%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $248,131
Monthly Rent $1,386
Price-to-Rent 14.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.7%
Cap Rate 4.4%
5-Year IRR N/A

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -8.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR -10.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR -9.8% ▼
10-Year CAGR -0.4% ▼

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
27.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
-9.8%
Declining
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95428

Population: 2,667

💰 Median Household Income
$46,694
This area
$46,694
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
31.7%
This area
31.7%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
11.6%
This area
11.6%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
9.9%
This area
9.9%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.3 years
This area
40.3 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
27.6%
This area
27.6%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 51.6%
Other/Mixed 48.2%
Hispanic/Latino 10.9%
Asian 0.2%
Black/African American 0.1%
👶 Under 18
24.6%
This area
24.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.6%
This area
17.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
23.5%
This area
23.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95428

B Avg School Grade
4 Schools
20.1:1 Avg Class Size
$23,696 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Round Valley High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
102 Students
👨‍🏫
9.4:1 Class Size
💰
$25,694 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Round Valley Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
328 Students
👨‍🏫
22.2:1 Class Size
💰
$25,694 Per Student
C+ Average

Eel River Charter

📚 K – 06 School Charter
👥
56 Students
👨‍🏫
18.7:1 Class Size
💰
$17,700 Per Student
C Below Average

Round Valley Continuation

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
20 Students
👨‍🏫
30.3:1 Class Size
💰
$25,694 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are rental rates like in Covelo, CA?

Investors in Covelo, CA typically see rents near $1,386/mo per month against $248K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

How strong is tenant demand in Covelo, CA?

Tenant quality in Covelo, CA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report consistent occupancy at market rents of $1,386/mo.

What price range are homes in Covelo, CA?

Covelo, CA home values average about $248K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $1,386/mo in monthly income.

What kind of market is Covelo, CA for investors?

Yes - Covelo, CA a 3.0/5 investability score. With $248K home prices against $1,386/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Covelo, CA?

CA law tenant-protective for landlords, and Covelo inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

You know 95428 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 95428 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 95428 ranks in Ukiah, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation →
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