Real Estate Investing in Patterson, California (95363)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Stanislaus County • Population: 30,407 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95363 (Patterson, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (56/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Patterson, CA (95363)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $508,571
Avg Monthly Rent $2,448
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $88,728
% Renters 28.7%

Market Analysis: 95363 Patterson

The 95363 ZIP covers a section of Patterson that demands careful diligence. Prices near $509K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

For an experienced owner, 95363 can be a a strong candidate for hunting ground — but the discount at $509K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

In the broader CA picture, 95363 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Resident income in 95363 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategically, 95363 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Patterson:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 60/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.7× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,448/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Modesto, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
9.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Modesto, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95363

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+5.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$116,717/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $374,284 $2,000 3.8% +5.3% $187,142
3BR $461,224 $2,780 4.3% +5.5% $153,741
4BR $522,289 $3,210 4.4% +5.7% $130,572
5BR $583,587 +5.9% $116,717

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$561K$471K$380K$290K$200K$110KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,691$2,638$2,586$2,534$2,482$2,429Jun 2025Dec 2025Jun 2026

📊 How Does 95363 Compare?

Metric 95363 Patterson Modesto, CA California
Home Value $508,571 $508,571 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 2.2% 2.2% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,448 $2,448 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.8% 3.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95363? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95363 (Patterson, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Stanislaus County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

summary from their website summary from their website

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Liberty Property Management offers services for Homeowners Associations, residential and commercial property management, and rental assistance in Stanislaus County and surrounding cities. summary from their website

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Valley Oak Property Management provides property management services in Modesto and Stanislaus County, including Ceres, Escalon, and Manteca. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.2%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Modesto, CA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
38%
Days Pending
0/2
38 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $508,571
Monthly Rent $2,448
Price-to-Rent 17.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.8%
Cap Rate 3.8%
5-Year IRR 6.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.7% ▼
3-Year CAGR +1.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.2%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95363

Population: 30,407

💰 Median Household Income
$88,728
This area
$88,728
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
28.7%
This area
28.7%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.3%
This area
4.3%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
15.4%
This area
15.4%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
32.4 years
This area
32.4 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.9%
This area
5.9%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 46.4%
White 45.2%
Hispanic/Latino 42.3%
Black/African American 4.6%
Asian 3.8%
👶 Under 18
29.8%
This area
29.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
9.6%
This area
9.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.6%
This area
6.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95363

B+ Avg School Grade
9 Schools
21.0:1 Avg Class Size
$21,009 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Northmead Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
567 Students
👨‍🏫
21.4:1 Class Size
💰
$21,009 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Creekside Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
897 Students
👨‍🏫
21.2:1 Class Size
💰
$21,009 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Las Palmas Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
663 Students
👨‍🏫
22.2:1 Class Size
💰
$21,009 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Walnut Grove Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
698 Students
👨‍🏫
22.2:1 Class Size
💰
$21,009 Per Student
B+ Above Average

West Valley Learning Center

📚 Grade KG Elementary
👥
116 Students
👨‍🏫
19.3:1 Class Size
💰
$21,009 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Del Puerto High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
103 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$21,009 Per Student
B Good

Apricot Valley Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
817 Students
👨‍🏫
23.8:1 Class Size
💰
$21,009 Per Student
B Good

Patterson High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,855 Students
👨‍🏫
21.8:1 Class Size
💰
$21,009 Per Student
B Good

Open Valley Independent Study

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
136 Students
👨‍🏫
20.4:1 Class Size
💰
$21,009 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How expensive is real estate in Patterson, CA?

Median home price in Patterson, CA is near $509K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been even-keeled and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

Where do rents currently stand in Patterson, CA?

The typical rental in Patterson, CA commands about $2,448/mo monthly. That rent profile reliable cash flow against the $509K purchase basis.

How high is vacancy risk in Patterson, CA?

Patterson, CA carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect predictable absorption at market rents of $2,448/mo.

What strategy should investors use in Patterson, CA?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Patterson, CA best. The market produces consistent results for that approach at the $509K price point.

What is the typical renter like in Patterson, CA?

Patterson, CA offers a steady renter base at the $2,448/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

You know 95363 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 95363 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 95363 ranks in Modesto, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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