Real Estate Investing in Hilmar, California (95324)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Merced County • Population: 7,862 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 95324 (Hilmar, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (45/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 25.1 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Hilmar, CA (95324)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $490,438
Avg Monthly Rent $1,629
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $71,523
% Renters 49.0%

Market Analysis: 95324 Hilmar

ZIP 95324 inside Merced County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $490K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

The 95324 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

ZIP 95324's metrics run below Merced County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Who lives in 95324 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Strategically, 95324 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Hilmar:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 49/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,629/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Merced, CA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Merced, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95324

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+5.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$140,821/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $386,262 $1,810 3.4% +3.5% $193,131
3BR $445,914 $2,490 4.0% +4.8% $148,638
4BR $563,283 $3,010 3.8% +5.0% $140,821

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$516K$442K$367K$293K$219K$144KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95324 Compare?

Metric 95324 Hilmar Merced, CA California
Home Value $490,438 $490,438 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 2.9% 2.9% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,629 $1,629 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.6% 2.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95324? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 49% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95324 (Hilmar, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.9%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Merced, CA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
46%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $490,438
Monthly Rent $1,629
Price-to-Rent 25.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.0%
Cap Rate 2.6%
5-Year IRR 5.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.6%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95324

Population: 7,862

💰 Median Household Income
$71,523
This area
$71,523
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
49.0%
This area
49.0%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.7%
This area
3.7%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
10.5%
This area
10.5%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.2 years
This area
36.2 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.6%
This area
5.6%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 64.3%
Other/Mixed 35.7%
Hispanic/Latino 33.8%
👶 Under 18
27.8%
This area
27.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.7%
This area
16.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
12.5%
This area
12.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95324

B Avg School Grade
5 Schools
17.8:1 Avg Class Size
$16,372 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Hilmar High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
698 Students
👨‍🏫
19.2:1 Class Size
💰
$16,372 Per Student
B Good

Hilmar Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
552 Students
👨‍🏫
21.3:1 Class Size
💰
$16,372 Per Student
B Good

Irwin High (Continuation)

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
24 Students
👨‍🏫
7.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,372 Per Student
C+ Average

Elim Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
915 Students
👨‍🏫
22.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,372 Per Student
C Below Average

Colony Basic Skills Alternative High

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$16,372 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 2,037 Off-Campus Students
C
Adrian's Beauty College of Turlock
71 students · 6.9 mi
B
California State University-Stanislaus
9,841 students · 9.4 mi

Investor Insight: With 2,037 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do experienced investors play Hilmar, CA?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Hilmar, CA best. The market produces steady results for that approach at the $490K price point.

What are rental rates like in Hilmar, CA?

Investors in Hilmar, CA typically see rents near $1,629/mo per month against $490K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

What is the typical renter like in Hilmar, CA?

Working renters make up the core of the Hilmar, CA tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Is vacancy a concern in Hilmar, CA?

Hilmar, CA carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect even-keeled absorption at market rents of $1,629/mo.

How landlord-friendly is Hilmar, CA?

Rental owners in Hilmar, CA deal with a tenant-protective legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

You know 95324 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 95324 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 95324 ranks in Merced, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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