Real Estate Investing in Keyes, California (95328)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Stanislaus County • Population: 3,939 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95328 (Keyes, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (50/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • Elevated poverty: 31.6% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 26.5 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Keyes, CA (95328)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $432,210
Avg Monthly Rent $1,359
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $51,519
% Renters 52.0%

Market Analysis: 95328 Keyes

The 95328 ZIP in Keyes, CA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $432K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

The investment case in 95328 is robust only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $432K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Meanwhile, 95328 offers a low basis, the region around Keyes has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

The demographic picture in 95328 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Keyes averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. significant returns are possible in 95328, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Keyes:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 48/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 8.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,359/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Modesto, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
9.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Modesto, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95328

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+7.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$111,092/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $302,506 $1,510 3.6% +7.0% $151,253
3BR $392,894 $2,100 3.8% +6.6% $130,965
4BR $526,220 $2,420 3.3% +6.8% $131,555
5BR $555,459 +5.6% $111,092

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$465K$385K$304K$224K$143K$63KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95328 Compare?

Metric 95328 Keyes Modesto, CA California
Home Value $432,210 $432,210 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 3.5% 3.5% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,359 $1,359 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.5% 2.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95328? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

52% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95328 (Keyes, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Stanislaus County

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Liberty Property Management offers services for Homeowners Associations, residential and commercial property management, and rental assistance in Stanislaus County and surrounding cities. summary from their website

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Valley Oak Property Management provides property management services in Modesto and Stanislaus County, including Ceres, Escalon, and Manteca. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.5%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Modesto, CA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
38%
Days Pending
0/2
38 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $432,210
Monthly Rent $1,359
Price-to-Rent 26.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.8%
Cap Rate 2.5%
5-Year IRR 5.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.8%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95328

Population: 3,939

💰 Median Household Income
$51,519
This area
$51,519
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
52.0%
This area
52.0%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.7%
This area
4.7%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
7.3%
This area
7.3%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
31.2 years
This area
31.2 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.8%
This area
3.8%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 48.6%
White 47.9%
Hispanic/Latino 42.1%
Asian 3.5%
👶 Under 18
36.4%
This area
36.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.1%
This area
10.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
31.6%
This area
31.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95328

B Avg School Grade
2 Schools
23.8:1 Avg Class Size
$17,609 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Keyes Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
470 Students
👨‍🏫
19.6:1 Class Size
💰
$17,609 Per Student
C+ Average

Keyes to Learning Charter

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
354 Students
👨‍🏫
28.1:1 Class Size
💰
$17,609 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

B+ Above Average

Petersen Alternative Center for Education at John B Allard

📚 06 – 12 High School
📍 3113 Mitchell Rd., Ceres
👥
117 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$346,324 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Cesar Chavez Junior High

📚 07 – 08 Middle
📍 2701 Eastgate Blvd., Ceres
👥
684 Students
👨‍🏫
21.5:1 Class Size
💰
$17,271 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Whitmore Charter School of Art & Technology

📚 K – 08 School Charter
📍 3435 Don Pedro Rd., Ceres
👥
434 Students
👨‍🏫
19.8:1 Class Size
💰
$17,271 Per Student
B Good

Blaker-Kinser Junior High

📚 07 – 08 Middle
📍 1601 Kinser Rd., Ceres
👥
637 Students
👨‍🏫
22.2:1 Class Size
💰
$17,271 Per Student
B Good

Carroll Fowler Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
📍 2611 Garrison St., Ceres
👥
527 Students
👨‍🏫
24.0:1 Class Size
💰
$17,271 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 10,818 Off-Campus Students
B
California State University-Stanislaus
9,841 students · 3.8 mi
C
Adrian's Beauty College of Turlock
71 students · 5.2 mi
C+
California Beauty School
73 students · 7.7 mi
C
Modesto Junior College
17,152 students · 8.5 mi
D
North Adrian's College of Beauty Inc
213 students · 9.5 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Modesto
305 students · 9.8 mi
D
Yosemite Community College District Office
0 students · 10.0 mi
C+
DeHart Technical School
80 students · 11.8 mi

Investor Insight: With 10,818 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do experienced investors play Keyes, CA?

For Keyes, CA, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

Where do rents currently stand in Keyes, CA?

Expect rents around $1,359/mo per month in Keyes, CA. With home values at $432K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Keyes, CA?

The landlord environment in Keyes, CA is tenant-protective. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

How high is vacancy risk in Keyes, CA?

Vacancy in Keyes, CA is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,359/mo.

Can I house hack in Keyes, CA?

The house hack math a challenging in Keyes, CA. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $1,359/mo rents and $432K home values.

You know 95328 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 95328 ranks in Modesto, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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