Real Estate Investing in Moss Beach, California (94038)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

San Mateo County • Population: 3,016 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 94038 (Moss Beach, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (42/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 43.2 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Moss Beach, CA (94038)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $1,480,366
Avg Monthly Rent $2,853
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $116,950
% Renters 6.5%

Market Analysis: 94038 Moss Beach

ZIP 94038 in Moss Beach, CA carries a notable set of headwinds. Home values near $1.5M and rents of $2,853/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $1.5M asset, 94038 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

In the broader CA picture, 94038 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

A significant renter share of 7% in 94038 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. notable returns are possible in 94038, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Moss Beach:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 48/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 12.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,853/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
7.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 94038

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
2.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+5.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$401,193/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $1,162,062 $3,170 2.0% +3.3% $581,031
3BR $1,402,033 $4,050 2.1% +4.7% $467,344
4BR $1,604,770 $4,200 1.9% +5.4% $401,193

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.6M$1.3M$1.1M$898K$679K$459KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 94038 Compare?

Metric 94038 Moss Beach San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA California
Home Value $1,480,366 $1,496,265 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 3.0% 3.1% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,853 $3,267 N/A -
Cap Rate 1.5% 1.7% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 94038 (Moss Beach, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving San Mateo County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Bayside Property Management is a Peninsula Property Management Company serving San Mateo County. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Boardwalk Investments Property Management specializes in property management and leasing in San Francisco and the Northern Peninsula. summary from their website

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Five Star Property Management is a leader in single-family, condominium, and multi-family apartment rentals property management in San Mateo and Northern California. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.0%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $1,480,366
Monthly Rent $2,853
Price-to-Rent 43.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.3%
Cap Rate 1.5%
5-Year IRR 4.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 94038

Population: 3,016

💰 Median Household Income
$116,950
This area
$116,950
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
6.5%
This area
6.5%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.1%
This area
0.1%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
51.8%
This area
51.8%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.6 years
This area
46.6 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 70.8%
Other/Mixed 23.4%
Hispanic/Latino 17.0%
Asian 5.3%
Black/African American 0.4%
👶 Under 18
24.5%
This area
24.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
24.4%
This area
24.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 94038

Nearby Schools (1 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

B Good

Farallone View Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 250 LaConte and Kanoff, Montara
👥
156 Students
👨‍🏫
26.0:1 Class Size
💰
$22,114 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 3,549 Off-Campus Students
C
Skyline College
9,428 students · 7.0 mi
D
San Mateo County Community College District Office
0 students · 8.1 mi
C+
College of San Mateo
9,208 students · 8.2 mi
C
Unitek College
255 students · 8.9 mi
C
Notre Dame de Namur University
237 students · 11.0 mi
C+
Hilltop Beauty School
79 students · 12.2 mi
C+
San Francisco State University
23,908 students · 13.3 mi
C+
Canada College
6,141 students · 13.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,549 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is real estate in Moss Beach, CA a good investment right now?

Yes - Moss Beach, CA a 2.0/5 investability score. With $1.5M home prices against $2,853/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

Is Moss Beach, CA landlord-friendly?

Moss Beach, CA operates under CA law, which is tenant-protective overall for landlords. Expect consistent treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

What are rental rates like in Moss Beach, CA?

Expect rents around $2,853/mo per month in Moss Beach, CA. With home values at $1.5M, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

Should investors worry about vacancy in Moss Beach, CA?

Expect elevated vacancy in Moss Beach, CA. Rents at $2,853/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

What is the typical renter like in Moss Beach, CA?

The tenant pool in Moss Beach, CA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $2,853/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

You know 94038 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 94038 ranks in San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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