Real Estate Investing in Overgaard, Arizona (85933)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Navajo County • Population: 3,989 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85933 (Overgaard, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (29/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 68.7% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Higher unemployment: 9.7% unemployment — tenant risk signal.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 28.0 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Overgaard, AZ (85933)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $378,558
Avg Monthly Rent $1,125
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $40,028
% Renters 17.5%

Market Analysis: 85933 Overgaard

The 85933 ZIP in Overgaard, AZ is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $379K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

The 85933 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Statewide comparisons place 85933 among AZ's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

A durable renter share of 18% in 85933 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. healthy returns are possible in 85933, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Overgaard:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 50/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 9.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,125/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Show Low, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
93 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Show Low, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85933

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
2.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+10.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$158,568/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $321,529 $1,250 2.8% +10.4% $160,765
3BR $475,704 $1,540 2.3% +10.0% $158,568

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$411K$352K$293K$234K$175K$117KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85933 Compare?

Metric 85933 Overgaard Show Low, AZ Arizona
Home Value $378,558 $378,558 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 3.3% 3.3% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,125 $1,125 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.3% 2.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85933? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85933 (Overgaard, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.3%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Show Low, AZ metro

4/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
74%
Days Pending
2/2
93 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $378,558
Monthly Rent $1,125
Price-to-Rent 28.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.6%
Cap Rate 2.3%
5-Year IRR 5.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
68.7%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85933

Population: 3,989

💰 Median Household Income
$40,028
This area
$40,028
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.5%
This area
17.5%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
9.7%
This area
9.7%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
18.9%
This area
18.9%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
58.2 years
This area
58.2 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
68.7%
This area
68.7%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 90.3%
Other/Mixed 7.6%
Asian 2.0%
Hispanic/Latino 0.9%
Black/African American 0.1%
👶 Under 18
10.5%
This area
10.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
43.6%
This area
43.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
12.6%
This area
12.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85933

C+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
$16,420 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

C+ Average

Mountain Meadows Primary

📚 Pre-K – 03 Elementary Limited Data
👥
156 Students
💰
$16,420 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is real estate in Overgaard, AZ a good investment right now?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Overgaard, AZ ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $379K and rents of $1,125/mo drive the underlying numbers.

What are rental rates like in Overgaard, AZ?

Investors in Overgaard, AZ typically see rents near $1,125/mo per month against $379K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

What are vacancy rates like in Overgaard, AZ?

Overgaard, AZ vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Does Overgaard, AZ favor landlords or tenants?

Landlord-friendliness in Overgaard, AZ is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

What is the best play in Overgaard, AZ?

Most investors in Overgaard, AZ run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

You know 85933 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 85933 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 85933 ranks in Show Low, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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