Real Estate Investing in Heber, Arizona (85928)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Navajo County • Population: 376 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85928 (Heber, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (38/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 59.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Heber, AZ (85928)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $447,688
Avg Monthly Rent $1,575
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $52,313
% Renters 23.4%

Market Analysis: 85928 Heber

This part of Navajo County is not an easy win. The 85928 ZIP reflects softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

From a cash-flow lens, the numbers look inviting — $448K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 85928 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Regionally, 85928 sits on the difficult end of the AZ spectrum. The a viable market for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Who lives in 85928 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 85928 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Heber:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 50/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 8.6× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,575/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Show Low, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
93 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Show Low, AZ metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$478K$410K$341K$272K$203K$134KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85928 Compare?

Metric 85928 Heber Show Low, AZ Arizona
Home Value $447,688 $447,688 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 3.6% 3.6% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,575 $1,575 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.7% 2.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85928? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85928 (Heber, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.6%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Show Low, AZ metro

4/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
74%
Days Pending
2/2
93 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $447,688
Monthly Rent $1,575
Price-to-Rent 23.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.2%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 6.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
59.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.6%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85928

Population: 376

💰 Median Household Income
$52,313
This area
$52,313
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
23.4%
This area
23.4%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
35.3%
This area
35.3%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
64.3 years
This area
64.3 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
59.9%
This area
59.9%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 100.0%
👶 Under 18
2.2%
This area
2.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
44.5%
This area
44.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
10.3%
This area
10.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85928

C+ Avg School Grade
4 Schools
$25,065 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

NAVIT - Mogollon High School (Heber-Overgaard)

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
1 Students
💰
$51,000 Per Student
C+ Average

Capps Elementary School

📚 04 – 06 School Limited Data
👥
108 Students
💰
$16,420 Per Student
C+ Average

Mogollon High School

📚 08 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
159 Students
💰
$16,420 Per Student
C+ Average

Mogollon Jr High School

📚 07 – 08 Middle Limited Data
👥
91 Students
💰
$16,420 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much rent can I charge in Heber, AZ?

Rent in Heber, AZ is around $1,575/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $448K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

Where do home prices stand in Heber, AZ?

Median home price in Heber, AZ is near $448K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been reliable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Heber, AZ?

Heber, AZ sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader AZ rental market.

What is the renter demographic in Heber, AZ?

Working renters make up the core of the Heber, AZ tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

What is the smart move for investors in Heber, AZ?

For Heber, AZ, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

You know 85928 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 85928 ranks in Show Low, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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