Real Estate Investing in Phoenix, Arizona (85021)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Maricopa County • Population: 40,026 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85021 (Phoenix, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (42/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 29.9 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in Phoenix, AZ (85021)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $437,372
Avg Monthly Rent $1,218
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $56,410
% Renters 60.7%

Market Analysis: 85021 Phoenix

The 85021 ZIP covers a section of Phoenix that demands careful diligence. Prices near $437K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 85021 reflects the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Statewide comparisons place 85021 among AZ's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Demographically, 85021 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Strategically, 85021 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Phoenix:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 57/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.8× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,218/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85021

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+9.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$132,490/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $264,980 $1,590 4.3% +6.2% $132,490
3BR $436,581 $2,120 3.5% +6.4% $145,527
4BR $829,678 $2,350 2.0% +8.3% $207,419
5BR $1,209,615 +9.2% $241,923

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$510K$425K$341K$256K$171K$87KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,409$1,256$1,103$950$797$644Sep 2016Aug 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85021 Compare?

Metric 85021 Phoenix Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Arizona
Home Value $437,372 $448,314 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.0% 2.8% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,218 $1,672 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.2% 3.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85021? Click to expand

61% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85021 (Phoenix, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Maricopa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Active Renter Property Management offers rental property management services in Phoenix, Arizona, including a 6-month tenant guarantee. summary from their website

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Arête Realty and Property Management, LLC offers property management services and real estate expertise in Glendale, Avondale, Chandler, Mesa, Gilbert, Sun City, Paradise Valley, Scottsdale, and Peori summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Arizona Community Management Services offers a comprehensive suite of services for Association leaders, including board training, financial management, and covenants enforcement, with decades of exper summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
2.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.0%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $437,372
Monthly Rent $1,218
Price-to-Rent 29.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.3%
Cap Rate 2.2%
5-Year IRR 4.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.5% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.1% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -7.7% ▼
3-Year CAGR -2.5% ▼
5-Year CAGR -1.0% ▼
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.1%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.0%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85021

Population: 40,026

💰 Median Household Income
$56,410
This area
$56,410
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
60.7%
This area
60.7%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.7%
This area
4.7%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
33.3%
This area
33.3%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.8 years
This area
35.8 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.1%
This area
7.1%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 55.7%
Other/Mixed 29.6%
Hispanic/Latino 21.5%
Black/African American 11.8%
Asian 2.9%
👶 Under 18
23.6%
This area
23.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.4%
This area
15.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
13.5%
This area
13.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85021

C Avg School Grade
22 Schools
18.9:1 Avg Class Size
$21,629 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Richard E Miller School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
391 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$12,508 Per Student
B Good

Orangewood School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
772 Students
👨‍🏫
16.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,508 Per Student
B Good

Royal Palm Middle School

📚 05 – 08 School
👥
468 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$12,508 Per Student
B Good

West-MEC - Sunnyslope High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
8 Students
💰
$74,804 Per Student
B Good

West-MEC - Washington High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
5 Students
💰
$74,804 Per Student
C Below Average

Sage Academy

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
110 Students
💰
$13,186 Per Student
C Below Average
👥
86 Students
💰
$12,508 Per Student
C Below Average

ASDB - Phoenix Day School for the Deaf

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12 Limited Data
👥
215 Students
C Below Average

Washington High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,702 Students
👨‍🏫
24.4:1 Class Size
💰
$13,607 Per Student
C Below Average

ASDB - Distance Itinerant Service Program Region 2

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
C Below Average

ASDB - ELP Distance Itinerant Service Program Preschool

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
C Below Average

ASDB - ELP Region 1 Preschool

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
C Below Average

ASDB - ELP Region 2 Preschool

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
C Below Average

ASDB - ELP Region 3 Preschool

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
C Below Average

ASDB - Region 2

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12 Limited Data
C Below Average

Cornerstone Charter School

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter Limited Data
👥
140 Students
💰
$12,888 Per Student
C Below Average

IntelliSchool Online

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter Limited Data
👥
9 Students
💰
$13,452 Per Student
C Below Average

PAS Charter Online

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter Limited Data
👥
7 Students
💰
$13,130 Per Student
C Below Average

SC Jensen Online

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter Limited Data
👥
4 Students
💰
$13,114 Per Student
C Below Average

Sunnyslope High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,270 Students
👨‍🏫
24.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,607 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby
C
DeVry University-Arizona
24 students · 0.7 mi
C
Carrington College-Phoenix North
1,088 students · 0.7 mi
D
Chamberlain University-Arizona
745 students · 0.7 mi
D
Brookline College-Phoenix
751 students · 1.1 mi
D
UEI College-Phoenix
1,148 students · 1.4 mi
F
National Paralegal College
438 students · 2.7 mi
D
Phoenix Institute of Herbal Medicine & Acupuncture
115 students · 3.0 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Phoenix
102 students · 3.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I house hack in Phoenix, AZ?

Phoenix, AZ is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $437K price point reasonable to enter.

Is Phoenix, AZ a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Investors tracking Phoenix, AZ will find a 2.0/5 rating supported by $437K median home values and $1,218/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting predictable returns.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Phoenix, AZ?

Occupancy in Phoenix, AZ runs even-keeled with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,218/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

How strict are landlord regulations in Phoenix, AZ?

Phoenix, AZ operates under AZ law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect consistent treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

What price range are homes in Phoenix, AZ?

Median home price in Phoenix, AZ is near $437K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been stable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

You know 85021 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 85021 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 85021 ranks in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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