Real Estate Investing in Teton, Idaho (83451)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Madison County • Population: 902 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 83451 (Teton, ID)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Elevated poverty: 23.3% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 27.7 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Teton, ID (83451)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $376,387
Avg Monthly Rent $1,134
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $55,208
% Renters 13.8%

Market Analysis: 83451 Teton

This part of Madison County is not an easy win. The 83451 ZIP registers softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

On the rental side, the numbers look inviting — $376K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 83451 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Nearby ZIPs in Teton have seen price recovery that 83451 has not matched. Madison County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Resident income in 83451 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. resilient returns are possible in 83451, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Teton:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 51/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,134/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Rexburg, ID Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Rexburg, ID metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$403K$346K$289K$232K$175K$118KJan 2015Oct 2020Jul 2026

📊 How Does 83451 Compare?

Metric 83451 Teton Rexburg, ID Idaho
Home Value $376,387 $376,387 N/A $465,545
5-Year CAGR 4.3% 4.3% N/A 7.2%
Avg Rent $1,134 $1,134 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.4% 2.4% - -
💡 Why Invest in 83451? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 83451 (Teton, ID). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.3%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Rexburg, ID metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $376,387
Monthly Rent $1,134
Price-to-Rent 27.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.6%
Cap Rate 2.4%
5-Year IRR 6.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +9.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.8%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 83451

Population: 902

💰 Median Household Income
$55,208
This area
$55,208
State
$66,158
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.8%
This area
13.8%
State
22.1%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-5.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
17.2%
This area
17.2%
State
11.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
31.0 years
This area
31.0 years
State
21.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.8%
This area
5.8%
State
22.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 97.4%
Other/Mixed 2.6%
Hispanic/Latino 1.6%
👶 Under 18
35.5%
This area
35.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.9%
This area
15.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
23.3%
This area
23.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby
C+
Brigham Young University-Idaho
42,996 students · 8.1 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Rexburg
246 students · 9.1 mi
C
Rexburg College of Massage Therapy
59 students · 9.2 mi
C+
Evans Hairstyling College-Rexburg
67 students · 9.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the rental occupancy rate in Teton, ID?

Expect elevated vacancy in Teton, ID. Rents at $1,134/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Is Teton, ID a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Teton, ID rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $376K and rents near $1,134/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

How qualified is the tenant pool in Teton, ID?

Working renters make up the core of the Teton, ID tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Is Teton, ID good for landlords?

Rental owners in Teton, ID deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

What price range are homes in Teton, ID?

In Teton, ID the median home value sits at $376K. Against the broader ID market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

You know 83451 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 83451 ranks in Rexburg, ID

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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