Real Estate Investing in Swan Valley, Idaho (83449)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Bonneville County • Population: 253 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 83449 (Swan Valley, ID)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (31/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 54.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 40.2 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Swan Valley, ID (83449)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $546,496
Avg Monthly Rent $1,134
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $76,118
% Renters 12.4%

Market Analysis: 83449 Swan Valley

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Swan Valley's 83449 ZIP stands at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $546K pricing implies.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 83449 stands at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

The gap between 83449 and stronger Swan Valley ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

In practical terms, 253 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

tilts toward the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Swan Valley:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 51/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,134/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Idaho Falls, ID Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
56 days
Average time to sell
Average
10.7%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Idaho Falls, ID metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$578K$521K$465K$408K$352K$295KFeb 2018May 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 83449 Compare?

Metric 83449 Swan Valley Idaho Falls, ID Idaho
Home Value $546,496 $546,496 N/A $465,545
5-Year CAGR 2.8% 2.8% N/A 7.2%
Avg Rent $1,134 $1,134 N/A -
Cap Rate 1.6% 1.6% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 83449 (Swan Valley, ID). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Bonneville County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

HomeRiver Group Utah provides residential property management and leasing services for rental homeowners and real estate investors in Salt Lake City. summary from their website

Single-family
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Blue Pine Property Management is a premier choice for property management in Idaho Falls, offering services to maximize owner profit and protect properties through tenant screening. summary from their website

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Jacob Grant Property Management offers property management services in Idaho Falls. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.8%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Idaho Falls, ID metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
51%
Days Pending
1/2
56 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $546,496
Monthly Rent $1,134
Price-to-Rent 40.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.5%
Cap Rate 1.6%
5-Year IRR 4.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
54.2%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 83449

Population: 253

💰 Median Household Income
$76,118
This area
$76,118
State
$66,158
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
12.4%
This area
12.4%
State
22.1%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.9%
This area
4.9%
State
-5.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
35.7%
This area
35.7%
State
11.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
54.3 years
This area
54.3 years
State
21.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
54.2%
This area
54.2%
State
22.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.0%
Hispanic/Latino 4.0%
Other/Mixed 4.0%
👶 Under 18
10.6%
This area
10.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
35.8%
This area
35.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.5%
This area
9.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is vacancy risk in Swan Valley, ID?

Vacancy in Swan Valley, ID is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,134/mo.

What is the typical rental rate in Swan Valley, ID?

Rent in Swan Valley, ID is around $1,134/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $546K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

Can owner-occupants cash flow in Swan Valley, ID?

House hacking in Swan Valley, ID is a challenging. With home values around $546K and rents at $1,134/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

How do experienced investors play Swan Valley, ID?

Swan Valley, ID investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($546K prices, $1,134/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Is Swan Valley, ID a smart market for rental property?

Yes - Swan Valley, ID a 2.0/5 investability score. With $546K home prices against $1,134/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

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How 83449 ranks in Idaho Falls, ID

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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