Real Estate Investing in Lava Hot Springs, Idaho (83246)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Bannock County • Population: 846 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 83246 (Lava Hot Springs, ID)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (48/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 38.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 36.5 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Lava Hot Springs, ID (83246)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $452,954
Avg Monthly Rent $1,035
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $79,464
% Renters 16.2%

Market Analysis: 83246 Lava Hot Springs

Investors eyeing 83246 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $453K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

The investment case in 83246 is substantial only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $453K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

The gap between 83246 and stronger Lava Hot Springs ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Employment concentration in 83246 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Strategically, 83246 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lava Hot Springs:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 56/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.7× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,035/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Pocatello, ID Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Pocatello, ID metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$484K$414K$344K$274K$204K$135KApr 2009Dec 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 83246 Compare?

Metric 83246 Lava Hot Springs Pocatello, ID Idaho
Home Value $452,954 $452,954 N/A $465,545
5-Year CAGR 4.0% 4.0% N/A 7.2%
Avg Rent $1,035 $1,035 N/A -
Cap Rate 1.8% 1.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 83246? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 83246 (Lava Hot Springs, ID). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
1.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.0%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Pocatello, ID metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $452,954
Monthly Rent $1,035
Price-to-Rent 36.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.7%
Cap Rate 1.8%
5-Year IRR 5.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +9.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
38.4%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 83246

Population: 846

💰 Median Household Income
$79,464
This area
$79,464
State
$66,158
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
16.2%
This area
16.2%
State
22.1%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.3%
This area
2.3%
State
-5.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
24.0%
This area
24.0%
State
11.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
53.5 years
This area
53.5 years
State
21.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
38.4%
This area
38.4%
State
22.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 88.0%
Other/Mixed 11.3%
Hispanic/Latino 4.4%
Asian 0.7%
👶 Under 18
12.5%
This area
12.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
29.6%
This area
29.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.9%
This area
0.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 83246

C+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
14.6:1 Avg Class Size
$10,540 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

C+ Average

LAVA ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
58 Students
👨‍🏫
14.6:1 Class Size
💰
$10,540 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is Lava Hot Springs, ID for real estate investors?

Investors tracking Lava Hot Springs, ID will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $453K median home values and $1,035/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting predictable returns.

What is the average monthly rent in Lava Hot Springs, ID?

The typical rental in Lava Hot Springs, ID commands about $1,035/mo monthly. That rent profile consistent cash flow against the $453K purchase basis.

Is Lava Hot Springs, ID good for landlords?

Lava Hot Springs, ID operates under ID law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect measured treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

How deep is the rental pool in Lava Hot Springs, ID?

Lava Hot Springs, ID draws a even-keeled base of working renters. Demand at the $1,035/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

What is the smart move for investors in Lava Hot Springs, ID?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Lava Hot Springs, ID best. The market produces measured results for that approach at the $453K price point.

You know 83246 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 83246 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 83246 ranks in Pocatello, ID

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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