Real Estate Investing in Lago Vista, Texas (78645)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Travis County • Population: 15,042 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 78645 (Lago Vista, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (43/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 14.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -0.2% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.

What’s happening in Lago Vista, TX (78645)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $424,108
Avg Monthly Rent $2,153
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $107,736
% Renters 11.7%

Market Analysis: 78645 Lago Vista

Investors eyeing 78645 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $424K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

The investment case in 78645 is significant only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $424K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

ZIP 78645's metrics run below Travis County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Who lives in 78645 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The right play in 78645 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lago Vista:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 56/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.9× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,153/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
89 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 78645

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
5.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$129,755/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $182,397 $1,490 5.9% +5.3% $182,397
2BR $277,926 $1,760 4.6% +5.0% $138,963
3BR $389,266 $2,240 4.1% +5.3% $129,755
4BR $552,003 $2,610 3.4% +6.8% $138,001
5BR $837,136 +7.8% $167,427

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$572K$494K$417K$339K$261K$183KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,316$2,229$2,143$2,056$1,969$1,883Jan 2023Oct 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 78645 Compare?

Metric 78645 Lago Vista Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Texas
Home Value $424,108 $424,108 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $2,153 $2,153 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.0% 4.0% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78645 (Lago Vista, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Travis County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

512-Society Property Management provides single-family and multi-family property management services across North Austin and Round Rock since 2005. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamily
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Darwin Homes offers tech-driven property management services, making renting easy with 24/7 support, smart locks for viewings, and assistance with moving and utility setup. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamily
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Guest Haus Property Management offers Airbnb and vacation rental management services in Austin. summary from their website

Short-term rentals
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
4.0%
Low
5yr Growth
-0.2%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $424,108
Monthly Rent $2,153
Price-to-Rent 16.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 3.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR -3.6% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.2% ▼
10-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +5.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
14.1%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-0.2%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78645

Population: 15,042

💰 Median Household Income
$107,736
This area
$107,736
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
11.7%
This area
11.7%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.5%
This area
2.5%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
38.0%
This area
38.0%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
53.0 years
This area
53.0 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
14.1%
This area
14.1%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 86.8%
Other/Mixed 10.8%
Hispanic/Latino 8.3%
Black/African American 1.8%
Asian 0.5%
👶 Under 18
14.1%
This area
14.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
25.8%
This area
25.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 78645

A+ Avg School Grade
4 Schools
14.0:1 Avg Class Size
$29,372 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

LAGO VISTA EL

📚 Pre-K – 03 Elementary
👥
521 Students
👨‍🏫
14.3:1 Class Size
💰
$29,372 Per Student
A+ Excellent

LAGO VISTA H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
676 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$29,372 Per Student
A+ Excellent

LAGO VISTA MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
418 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$29,372 Per Student
A+ Excellent

LAGO VISTA INT

📚 04 – 05 Elementary
👥
231 Students
👨‍🏫
13.2:1 Class Size
💰
$29,372 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby
D
Concordia University Texas
1,614 students · 8.2 mi
C
The Recording Conservatory of Austin
82 students · 10.3 mi
C
Ann Webb Skin Institute
181 students · 13.1 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Austin
192 students · 14.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Are homes affordable in Lago Vista, TX?

Lago Vista, TX home values average about $424K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $2,153/mo in monthly income.

How qualified is the tenant pool in Lago Vista, TX?

The tenant pool in Lago Vista, TX is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $2,153/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

What is the average monthly rent in Lago Vista, TX?

Expect rents around $2,153/mo per month in Lago Vista, TX. With home values at $424K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

Is Lago Vista, TX a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Investors tracking Lago Vista, TX will find a 2.0/5 rating supported by $424K median home values and $2,153/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting reliable returns.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Lago Vista, TX?

For rental operators, Lago Vista, TX rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

You know 78645 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 78645 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 78645 ranks in Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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