Real Estate Investing in Bastrop, Texas (78612)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Bastrop County • Population: 19,830 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 78612 (Bastrop, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (56/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Bastrop, TX (78612)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $425,640
Avg Monthly Rent $1,584
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $81,275
% Renters 13.7%

Market Analysis: 78612 Bastrop

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Bastrop's 78612 ZIP stands at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $426K pricing implies.

Rent of $1,584/mo on a $426K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 78612 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Regionally, 78612 sits on the difficult end of the TX spectrum. The a viable market for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Demographically, 78612 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Strategy in 78612 is an operator game, not a passive one. Turning to rents, entry prices of $426K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Bastrop:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 60/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.2× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,584/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
89 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 78612

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+8.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$131,450/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $356,933 $1,760 3.6% +7.1% $178,466
3BR $405,086 $2,240 4.0% +8.4% $135,029
4BR $525,801 $2,600 3.6% +8.0% $131,450

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$496K$423K$350K$278K$205K$132KJun 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 78612 Compare?

Metric 78612 Bastrop Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Texas
Home Value $425,640 $389,290 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 2.6% 2.1% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,584 $1,710 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.9% 3.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 78612? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78612 (Bastrop, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.6%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $425,640
Monthly Rent $1,584
Price-to-Rent 22.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.5%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 5.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.9% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.8% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.6%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78612

Population: 19,830

💰 Median Household Income
$81,275
This area
$81,275
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.7%
This area
13.7%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
23.2%
This area
23.2%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
31.1 years
This area
31.1 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.7%
This area
5.7%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 46.2%
White 44.0%
Hispanic/Latino 42.7%
Black/African American 8.9%
Asian 1.0%
👶 Under 18
35.8%
This area
35.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.4%
This area
11.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
15.0%
This area
15.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 78612

B Avg School Grade
4 Schools
16.2:1 Avg Class Size
$12,381 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

CEDAR CREEK EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
748 Students
👨‍🏫
15.6:1 Class Size
💰
$12,381 Per Student
B Good

CEDAR CREEK INT

📚 Grade 06 Middle
👥
455 Students
👨‍🏫
15.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,381 Per Student
B Good

CEDAR CREEK MIDDLE

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
1,028 Students
👨‍🏫
16.3:1 Class Size
💰
$12,381 Per Student
C+ Average

CEDAR CREEK H S

📚 08 – 12 High School
👥
2,123 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$12,381 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Bastrop, TX favor landlords or tenants?

Rental owners in Bastrop, TX deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

Is it easy to find good tenants in Bastrop, TX?

Tenant demand in Bastrop, TX is solid. The local workforce $1,584/mo rents across most rental classes.

What are home prices like in Bastrop, TX?

The median home value in Bastrop, TX is roughly $426K. That puts it reasonable relative to the TX statewide average.

Is Bastrop, TX suited for a house hack?

For house hackers, Bastrop, TX is a challenging. The $1,584/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $426K property.

Is Bastrop, TX better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

For Bastrop, TX, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

You know 78612 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 78612 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 78612 ranks in Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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