Real Estate Investing in Jonesboro, Texas (76538)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hamilton County • Population: 996 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 76538 (Jonesboro, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (31/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 16.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Elevated poverty: 23.0% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 36.6 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Jonesboro, TX (76538)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $418,528
Avg Monthly Rent $954
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $58,654
% Renters 14.7%

Market Analysis: 76538 Jonesboro

Investors eyeing 76538 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $419K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

The investment case in 76538 is healthy only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $419K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Nearby ZIPs in Jonesboro have seen price recovery that 76538 has not matched. Hamilton County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Stepping back, 996 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Strategically, 76538 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Jonesboro:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 55/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.1× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $954/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Killeen-Temple, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
86 days
Average time to sell
Slow
8.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Killeen-Temple, TX metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$433K$398K$362K$327K$292K$256KFeb 2019Nov 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 76538 Compare?

Metric 76538 Jonesboro Killeen-Temple, TX Texas
Home Value $418,528 $418,528 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 3.7% 3.7% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $954 $954 N/A -
Cap Rate 1.8% 1.8% - -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 76538 (Jonesboro, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.7%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $418,528
Monthly Rent $954
Price-to-Rent 36.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.7%
Cap Rate 1.8%
5-Year IRR 5.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
16.2%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 76538

Population: 996

💰 Median Household Income
$58,654
This area
$58,654
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
14.7%
This area
14.7%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
24.5%
This area
24.5%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
51.7 years
This area
51.7 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
16.2%
This area
16.2%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 85.4%
Other/Mixed 13.5%
Hispanic/Latino 6.8%
Black/African American 1.1%
👶 Under 18
15.3%
This area
15.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
31.3%
This area
31.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
23.0%
This area
23.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 76538

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
11.8:1 Avg Class Size
$11,274 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

JONESBORO SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12
👥
319 Students
👨‍🏫
11.8:1 Class Size
💰
$11,274 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What type of investing works in Jonesboro, TX?

In Jonesboro, TX the impressive play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $419K prices and $954/mo rents suits that approach.

What price range are homes in Jonesboro, TX?

In Jonesboro, TX the median home value sits at $419K. Against the broader TX market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

Are rents high in Jonesboro, TX?

Rental rates in Jonesboro, TX average $954/mo. Tenant demand and $419K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Jonesboro, TX?

Rental owners in Jonesboro, TX deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

How tight is the rental market in Jonesboro, TX?

Vacancy in Jonesboro, TX is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $954/mo.

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How 76538 ranks in Killeen-Temple, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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