Real Estate Investing in Commerce, Texas (75428)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hunt County • Population: 11,587 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 75428 (Commerce, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (57/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 15.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Commerce, TX (75428)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $209,308
Avg Monthly Rent $1,193
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $51,205
% Renters 48.8%

Market Analysis: 75428 Commerce

The 75428 ZIP covers a section of Commerce that demands careful diligence. Prices near $209K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

Rent of $1,193/mo on a $209K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 75428 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Turning to rents, 75428 offers a low basis, the region around Commerce has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

On balance, 11,587 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

looks to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Commerce:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 69/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.1× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,193/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
63 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 75428

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
7.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+8.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$61,303/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $122,607 $1,240 7.3% +5.4% $61,303
3BR $203,714 $1,560 5.5% +6.6% $67,905
4BR $317,770 $1,980 4.5% +8.2% $79,442

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$234K$198K$162K$127K$91K$55KJan 2009Oct 2017Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,203$1,176$1,149$1,122$1,095$1,068Apr 2025Dec 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 75428 Compare?

Metric 75428 Commerce Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Texas
Home Value $209,308 $104,654 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 3.8% 3.8% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,193 $1,193 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.5% 4.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 75428? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 49% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 75428 (Commerce, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.5%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.8%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $209,308
Monthly Rent $1,193
Price-to-Rent 14.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.8%
Cap Rate 4.5%
5-Year IRR 8.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +5.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
15.4%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 75428

Population: 11,587

💰 Median Household Income
$51,205
This area
$51,205
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
48.8%
This area
48.8%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
23.3%
This area
23.3%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
27.0 years
This area
27.0 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
15.4%
This area
15.4%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 61.7%
Black/African American 18.1%
Other/Mixed 17.7%
Hispanic/Latino 12.7%
Asian 2.4%
👶 Under 18
19.5%
This area
19.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.9%
This area
10.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
16.3%
This area
16.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 75428

A+ Avg School Grade
4 Schools
12.3:1 Avg Class Size
$21,349 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

ALBERT C WILLIAMS EL

📚 03 – 05 Elementary
👥
338 Students
👨‍🏫
11.4:1 Class Size
💰
$21,349 Per Student
A+ Excellent

COMMERCE H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
485 Students
👨‍🏫
11.8:1 Class Size
💰
$21,349 Per Student
A+ Excellent

COMMERCE MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
329 Students
👨‍🏫
11.0:1 Class Size
💰
$21,349 Per Student
A+ Excellent

COMMERCE EL

📚 Pre-K – 02 Elementary
👥
407 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$21,349 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 828 Off-Campus Students
C+
Texas A & M University-Commerce
12,013 students · 2.2 mi

Investor Insight: With 828 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Commerce, TX favor landlords or tenants?

Commerce, TX operates under TX law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect consistent treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

How does Commerce, TX rate as a rental market?

Commerce, TX scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $209K and rents near $1,193/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

Are tenants stable in Commerce, TX?

Commerce, TX draws a consistent base of working renters. Demand at the $1,193/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

How much is rent in Commerce, TX?

Commerce, TX rentals go for roughly $1,193/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $209K acquisition costs.

What is the median home value in Commerce, TX?

Typical homes in Commerce, TX go for around $209K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% consistent price movement.

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How 75428 ranks in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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