Real Estate Investing in Tonkawa, Oklahoma (74653)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Kay County • Population: 3,689 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 74653 (Tonkawa, OK)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (68/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (57/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 13.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Tonkawa, OK (74653)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $103,445
Avg Monthly Rent $846
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $56,079
% Renters 28.6%

Market Analysis: 74653 Tonkawa

Meanwhile, ZIP 74653 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $103K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 74653 clocks in at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

ZIP 74653's metrics run below Kay County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The 74653 ZIP's population of 3,689 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that reports the need for careful underwriting.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 74653 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Tonkawa:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 1.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $846/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Ponca City, OK Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Ponca City, OK metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 74653

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
11.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+5.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$29,498/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $58,996 $940 11.5% +1.1% $29,498
3BR $126,791 $1,250 7.1% +5.2% $42,264
4BR $169,031 $1,380 5.9% +4.1% $42,258

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$113K$99K$84K$70K$56K$42KFeb 2006May 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 74653 Compare?

Metric 74653 Tonkawa Ponca City, OK Oklahoma
Home Value $103,445 $103,445 N/A $214,563
5-Year CAGR 2.3% 2.3% N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $846 $846 N/A -
Cap Rate 6.4% 6.4% - -
💡 Why Invest in 74653? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 74653 (Tonkawa, OK). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
6.4%
Good
5yr Growth
+2.3%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Ponca City, OK metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
64%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $103,445
Monthly Rent $846
Price-to-Rent 10.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 9.8%
Cap Rate 6.4%
5-Year IRR 8.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR -1.4% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Neutral Leverage Cap Rate: 6.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage is roughly neutral here.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) is close to the estimated cap rate (6.4%). Financing this market at current rates produces a cash-on-cash return near the cap rate. Appreciation and tax benefits may still support the investment.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
13.2%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 74653

Population: 3,689

💰 Median Household Income
$56,079
This area
$56,079
State
$58,994
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
28.6%
This area
28.6%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.7%
This area
3.7%
State
-1.8%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
20.9%
This area
20.9%
State
14.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.3 years
This area
36.3 years
State
30.2 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
13.2%
This area
13.2%
State
20.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 73.2%
Other/Mixed 25.6%
Hispanic/Latino 4.5%
Black/African American 0.7%
Asian 0.5%
👶 Under 18
25.2%
This area
25.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.8%
This area
18.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
13.3%
This area
13.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 74653

B Avg School Grade
3 Schools
14.6:1 Avg Class Size
$10,554 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

TONKAWA ES

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
414 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$10,554 Per Student
B Good

TONKAWA HS

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
208 Students
👨‍🏫
12.7:1 Class Size
💰
$10,554 Per Student
C+ Average

TONKAWA MS

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
177 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$10,554 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 969 Off-Campus Students
C
Northern Oklahoma College
3,083 students · 3.5 mi
C+
Pioneer Technology Center
410 students · 15.0 mi

Investor Insight: With 969 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Tonkawa, OK a smart market for rental property?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Tonkawa, OK ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $103K and rents of $846/mo drive the underlying numbers.

How deep is the rental pool in Tonkawa, OK?

The tenant pool in Tonkawa, OK is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $846/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

What do landlords charge for rent in Tonkawa, OK?

Rent in Tonkawa, OK is around $846/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $103K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

How should investors approach Tonkawa, OK?

In Tonkawa, OK the impressive play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $103K prices and $846/mo rents suits that approach.

Is Tonkawa, OK a good market for FHA house hackers?

Tonkawa, OK offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $846/mo rent level.

You know 74653 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 74653 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 74653 ranks in Ponca City, OK

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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